London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, BHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom.
JACC Heart Fail. 2014 Jun;2(3):289-97. doi: 10.1016/j.jchf.2013.12.007. Epub 2014 Apr 30.
This study sought to examine the effect of statin therapy hospitalizations for heart failure (HFH) in patients in the CORONA (Controlled Rosuvastatin Multinational Trial in Heart Failure) trial.
HFH is an important, frequently recurrent event. Conventional time-to-first event analyses do not take account repeat events. We used a number of statistical approaches to examine the effect of treatment on first and repeat HFH in the CORONA trial.
In the CORONA trial, 5,011 patients ≥60 years of age with chronic New York Heart Association functional classes II to IV systolic heart failure resulting from ischemia were randomized to receive rosuvastatin or placebo. Poisson, Andersen-Gill, and negative binomial methods (NB) were used to analyze the effect of rosuvastatin on HFH, and the NB and a parametric joint frailty model (JF) were used to examine this effect while accounting for the competing risk of cardiovascular (CV) death. Rosuvastatin/placebo rate ratios were calculated, both unadjusted and adjusted.
A total of 1,291 patients had 1 or more HFH (750 of these had a single HFH only), and there were a total of 2,408 HFHs. The hazard ratio for the conventional time-to-first event analysis for HFH was 0.91 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.82 to 1.02, p = 0.105). In contrast, the NB on repeat hospitalizations gave an unadjusted RR (RR) for HFH of 0.86 (95% CI: 0.75 to 0.99, p = 0.030), adjusted 0.82 (95% CI: 0.72 to 0.92, p = 0.001), and after including CV death as the last event, adjusted RR of 0.85 (95% CI: 0.77 to 0.94, p = 0.001). The JF gave an adjusted RR of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.73 to 0.92, p = 0.001). Similar results were found in analyses of all CV hospitalizations and all-cause hospitalizations.
When repeat events were included, rosuvastatin was shown to reduce the risk of HFH by approximately 15% to 20%, equating to approximately 76 fewer admissions per 1,000 patients treated over a median 33 months of follow-up. Including repeat events could increase the ability to detect treatment effects in heart failure trials.
本研究旨在探讨 CORONA(心力衰竭控制瑞舒伐他汀多国试验)试验中,心力衰竭(HFH)住院的他汀类药物治疗对患者的影响。
HFH 是一种重要的、经常复发的事件。传统的首次事件时间分析并未考虑重复事件。我们使用了多种统计学方法来研究 CORONA 试验中治疗对首次和重复 HFH 的影响。
在 CORONA 试验中,5011 名年龄≥60 岁、因缺血导致慢性纽约心脏协会功能 II 至 IV 级收缩性心力衰竭的患者被随机分配接受瑞舒伐他汀或安慰剂治疗。我们使用泊松、安德森-吉尔和负二项式方法(NB)来分析瑞舒伐他汀对 HFH 的影响,并且使用 NB 和参数联合脆弱性模型(JF)来分析在考虑心血管(CV)死亡竞争风险的情况下这种影响。计算了瑞舒伐他汀/安慰剂的比率比,包括未调整和调整后的。
共有 1291 名患者发生了 1 次或多次 HFH(其中 750 名患者仅发生了 1 次 HFH),共发生了 2408 次 HFH。HFH 的传统首次事件时间分析的危险比为 0.91(95%置信区间[CI]:0.82 至 1.02,p=0.105)。相比之下,NB 对重复住院的分析显示 HFH 的未调整 RR(RR)为 0.86(95%CI:0.75 至 0.99,p=0.030),调整后为 0.82(95%CI:0.72 至 0.92,p=0.001),并且在将 CV 死亡作为最后事件包括在内后,调整后的 RR 为 0.85(95%CI:0.77 至 0.94,p=0.001)。JF 给出的调整后的 RR 为 0.82(95%CI:0.73 至 0.92,p=0.001)。在对所有 CV 住院和全因住院的分析中也发现了类似的结果。
当包括重复事件时,瑞舒伐他汀可使 HFH 的风险降低约 15%至 20%,相当于每 1000 名接受中位数为 33 个月随访的患者中,约有 76 次住院减少。包括重复事件可以提高心力衰竭试验中检测治疗效果的能力。