Oliver Adam, Wolff Jonathan
Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, UK.
Department of Philosophy, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK.
Econ Hum Biol. 2014 Dec;15:41-6. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2014.05.001. Epub 2014 May 28.
The conventional, or standard, time trade-off (TTO) procedure, which is used to elicit the values that people place on health states that are in turn required to calculate quality adjusted life-years (QALYs), asks respondents to trade off fewer life years for better health. It is possible to reverse the procedure to ask respondents to trade off less health for more life years. Theoretically, these two procedures should generate the same TTO values for any given health state. This article reports that for health states defined by differing frequencies of migraine attack, the standard TTO gives health state values that are significantly higher than those given by the reverse TTO. The observed systematic procedural invariance, which substantiates some previous findings reported in the literature and is consistent with a loss aversion effect, challenges the validity of the TTO for generating reliable valuations of health states.
传统的或标准的时间权衡(TTO)程序用于得出人们赋予健康状态的价值,而这些价值又是计算质量调整生命年(QALY)所必需的,该程序要求受访者用更少的生命年换取更好的健康。也可以颠倒这个程序,要求受访者用更少的健康换取更多的生命年。从理论上讲,对于任何给定的健康状态,这两种程序应该产生相同的TTO值。本文报告称,对于由不同偏头痛发作频率定义的健康状态,标准TTO给出的健康状态价值显著高于反向TTO给出的价值。观察到的系统程序不变性证实了文献中先前报道的一些发现,并且与损失厌恶效应一致,这对TTO用于生成可靠的健康状态估值的有效性提出了挑战。