Arias Elizabeth, Heron Melonie, Tejada-Vera Betzaida
Natl Vital Stat Rep. 2013 May 31;61(9):1-128.
This report presents abridged cause-elimination life tables and multiple-decrement life table functions for 33 selected causes of death, by race (white and black) and sex, for the total United States. It is the fourth in a set of reports that present life table data for the United States and each state for the period 1999-2001.
The life table functions presented in this report represent the mortality experience of a hypothetical cohort assuming that a particular cause of death is eliminated. The report includes a description of the methodology used to estimate the life table functions shown in four sets of tables. Each set contains seven tables, one each for the total population, total males, total females, white males, white females, black males, and black females.
From birth, a person has a 31% chance of dying of Diseases of heart (heart disease) and a 22% chance of dying of Malignant neoplasms (cancer). In contrast, the probabilities of dying from Accidents (unintentional injuries), Diabetes mellitus (diabetes), and Septicemia--3 of the 10 leading causes of death in 1991-2001--are much smaller. Likewise, elimination of heart disease would increase life expectancy at birth by almost 4 years, and elimination of cancer by more than 3 years. Other leading causes of death have a much smaller impact.
本报告呈现了美国总体按种族(白人和黑人)及性别划分的33种选定死因的简略消除病因生命表和多重减量生命表函数。这是一组呈现1999 - 2001年期间美国及各州生命表数据的报告中的第四份。
本报告中呈现的生命表函数代表了一个假设队列的死亡经历,假设某种特定死因已被消除。该报告包括对用于估计四组表格中所示生命表函数的方法的描述。每组包含七张表格,分别对应总人口、男性总数、女性总数、白人男性、白人女性、黑人男性和黑人女性。
从出生起,一个人死于心脏病的几率为31%,死于恶性肿瘤(癌症)的几率为22%。相比之下,死于事故(意外伤害)、糖尿病和败血症(1991 - 2001年十大主要死因中的3种)的概率要小得多。同样,消除心脏病将使出生时的预期寿命增加近4年,消除癌症将增加超过3年。其他主要死因的影响要小得多。