Department of Biology, University of Missouri-St. Louis, St. Louis, MO 63121;William L. Brown Center, Missouri Botanical Garden, St. Louis, MO 63166;
William L. Brown Center, Missouri Botanical Garden, St. Louis, MO 63166;
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2014 Jul 22;111(29):10615-9. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1403376111. Epub 2014 Jul 7.
Responses by flowering plants to climate change are complex and only beginning to be understood. Through analyses of 10,295 herbarium specimens of Himalayan Rhododendron collected by plant hunters and botanists since 1884, we were able to separate these responses into significant components. We found a lack of directional change in mean flowering time over the past 45 y of rapid warming. However, over the full 125 y of collections, mean flowering time shows a significant response to year-to-year changes in temperature, and this response varies with season of warming. Mean flowering advances with annual warming (2.27 d earlier per 1 °C warming), and also is delayed with fall warming (2.54 d later per 1 °C warming). Annual warming may advance flowering through positive effects on overwintering bud formation, whereas fall warming may delay flowering through an impact on chilling requirements. The lack of a directional response suggests that contrasting phenological responses to temperature changes may obscure temperature sensitivity in plants. By drawing on large collections from multiple herbaria, made over more than a century, we show how these data may inform studies even of remote localities, and we highlight the increasing value of these and other natural history collections in understanding long-term change.
植物对气候变化的响应是复杂的,目前才刚刚开始被理解。通过对自 1884 年以来植物猎人与植物学家采集的 10295 份喜马拉雅杜鹃标本进行分析,我们得以将这些响应分离成显著的组成部分。我们发现,在过去 45 年的快速变暖过程中,平均开花时间没有明显的变化趋势。然而,在全部 125 年的采集时间里,平均开花时间对逐年的温度变化有显著的响应,并且这种响应随变暖季节的不同而变化。随着年度变暖,平均开花时间提前(每升温 1°C 提前 2.27 天),而秋季变暖则会延迟(每升温 1°C 延迟 2.54 天)。年度变暖可能通过对越冬芽形成的积极影响来提前开花,而秋季变暖则可能通过影响需冷量来延迟开花。缺乏方向性的响应表明,植物对温度变化的相反物候学响应可能会掩盖其对温度的敏感性。通过利用来自多个标本馆、跨越一个多世纪的大量采集数据,我们展示了这些数据如何为即使是偏远地区的研究提供信息,并强调了这些和其他自然历史收藏在理解长期变化方面的价值不断增加。