Steiner Bernhard, Masood Rahim, Rufibach Kaspar, Niedrist Dunja, Kundert Oliver, Riegel Mariluce, Schinzel Albert
Institute of Medical Genetics, University of Zurich, Schwerzenbach, Switzerland.
Biostatistics Unit, Institute for Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Eur J Hum Genet. 2015 Apr;23(4):466-72. doi: 10.1038/ejhg.2014.122. Epub 2014 Jul 9.
The past decades have seen a remarkable shift in the demographics of childbearing in Western countries. The risk for offspring with chromosomal aneuploidies with advancing maternal age is well known, but most studies failed to demonstrate a paternal age effect. Retrospectively, we analyzed two case data sets containing parental ages from pre- and postnatal cases with trisomies 21, 13 and 18. The reference data set contains the parental ages of the general Swiss population. We dichotomized all couples into two distinct groups. In the first group, the mothers' integral age was as least as the father's age or older. We compared the frequency of cases in nine 5-year intervals of maternal age. In addition, we computed logistic regression models for the binary endpoint aneuploidy yes/no where paternal ages were incorporated as linear or quadratic, as well as smooth functions within a generalized additive model framework. We demonstrated that the proportion of younger fathers is uniformly different between cases and controls of live-born trisomy 21 as well, although not reaching significance, for fetuses over all mother's ages. Logistic regression models with different strategies to incorporate paternal ages confirmed our findings. The negative paternal age effect was also found in pre- and postnatal cases taken together with trisomies 13 and 18. The couples with younger fathers face almost twofold odds for a child with Down syndrome (DS). We estimated odds curves for parental ages. If confirmation of these findings can be achieved, the management of couples at risk needs a major correction of the risk stratification.
在过去几十年里,西方国家的生育人口统计学发生了显著变化。随着母亲年龄的增长,后代出现染色体非整倍体的风险是众所周知的,但大多数研究未能证明父亲年龄的影响。我们进行回顾性分析,使用了两个病例数据集,其中包含21、13和18三体综合征产前和产后病例的父母年龄。参考数据集包含瑞士普通人群的父母年龄。我们将所有夫妇分为两个不同的组。在第一组中,母亲的累计年龄至少与父亲的年龄相同或更大。我们比较了母亲年龄每5年间隔内的病例频率。此外,我们计算了二元终点非整倍体(是/否)的逻辑回归模型,其中父亲年龄以线性或二次形式纳入,以及在广义相加模型框架内的平滑函数。我们证明,在所有母亲年龄的胎儿中,尽管未达到显著水平,但在活产21三体综合征的病例和对照中,年轻父亲的比例也始终存在差异。采用不同策略纳入父亲年龄的逻辑回归模型证实了我们的发现。在13和18三体综合征的产前和产后病例中也发现了父亲年龄的负面影响。父亲年龄较小的夫妇生育唐氏综合征(DS)患儿的几率几乎高出一倍。我们估计了父母年龄的几率曲线。如果这些发现能够得到证实,那么对有风险的夫妇的管理需要对风险分层进行重大修正。