Department of Radiation Oncology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill2School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill.
Department of Radiation Oncology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill.
JAMA Intern Med. 2014 Oct;174(10):1558-65. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2014.3895.
IMPORTANCE: Routine cancer screening has unproven net benefit for patients with limited life expectancy. OBJECTIVE: To examine the patterns of prostate, breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer screening in the United States in individuals with different life expectancies. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Data from the population-based National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) from 2000 through 2010 were used and included 27 404 participants aged 65 years or older. Using a validated mortality index specific for NHIS, participants were grouped into those with low (<25%), intermediate (25%-49%), high (50%-74%), and very high (≥75%) risks of 9-year mortality. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Rates of prostate, breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer screening. RESULTS: In participants with very high mortality risk, 31% to 55% received recent cancer screening, with prostate cancer screening being most common (55%). For women who had a hysterectomy for benign reasons, 34% to 56% had a Papanicolaou test within the past 3 years. On multivariate analysis, very high vs low mortality risk was associated with less screening for prostate (odds ratio [OR], 0.65 [95% CI, 0.50-0.85]), breast (OR, 0.43 [95% CI, 0.35-0.53]), and cervical (OR, 0.50 [95% CI, 0.36-0.70]) cancers. There was less screening for prostate and cervical cancers in more recent years compared with 2000, and there was no significant interaction between calendar year and mortality risk for any cancer screening (P > .05 for all cancers). Our sensitivity analysis showed that screening was also common in individuals with less than 5-year life expectancy. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: A substantial proportion of the US population with limited life expectancy received prostate, breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer screening that is unlikely to provide net benefit. These results suggest that overscreening is common in both men and women, which not only increases health care expenditure but can lead to net patient harm.
重要性:对于预期寿命有限的患者,常规癌症筛查的净获益尚未得到证实。 目的:研究美国不同预期寿命患者的前列腺癌、乳腺癌、宫颈癌和结直肠癌筛查模式。 设计、地点和参与者:使用基于人群的国家健康访谈调查(NHIS)2000 年至 2010 年的数据,包括 27404 名 65 岁或以上的参与者。使用 NHIS 特定的经过验证的死亡率指数,将参与者分为 9 年死亡率低(<25%)、中(25%-49%)、高(50%-74%)和极高(≥75%)风险的组。 主要结局和测量指标:前列腺癌、乳腺癌、宫颈癌和结直肠癌的筛查率。 结果:在死亡率极高的患者中,有 31%-55%的人最近接受了癌症筛查,前列腺癌筛查最为常见(55%)。对于因良性原因接受子宫切除术的女性,有 34%-56%的人在过去 3 年内接受过巴氏涂片检查。多变量分析显示,与低死亡率风险相比,极高死亡率风险与前列腺癌(比值比[OR],0.65[95%置信区间,0.50-0.85])、乳腺癌(OR,0.43[95%置信区间,0.35-0.53])和宫颈癌(OR,0.50[95%置信区间,0.36-0.70])的筛查率降低相关。与 2000 年相比,近年来前列腺癌和宫颈癌的筛查率较低,任何癌症筛查的日历年与死亡率风险之间均无显著交互作用(所有癌症筛查的 P 值均>0.05)。我们的敏感性分析表明,在预期寿命不足 5 年的患者中,筛查也很常见。 结论和相关性:相当一部分预期寿命有限的美国人群接受了不太可能带来净获益的前列腺癌、乳腺癌、宫颈癌和结直肠癌筛查。这些结果表明,过度筛查在男性和女性中都很常见,这不仅增加了医疗保健支出,还可能导致净患者伤害。
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