Myrskylä Mikko, Margolis Rachel
Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, WC2A 2AE, UK,
Demography. 2014 Oct;51(5):1843-66. doi: 10.1007/s13524-014-0321-x.
Understanding how having children influences parents' subjective well-being ("happiness") has great potential to explain fertility behavior. We study parental happiness trajectories before and after the birth of a child, using large British and German longitudinal data sets. We account for unobserved parental characteristics using fixed-effects models and study how sociodemographic factors modify the parental happiness trajectories. Consistent with existing work, we find that happiness increases in the years around the birth of a first child and then decreases to before-child levels. Moreover, happiness increases before birth, suggesting that the trajectories may capture not only the effect of the birth but also the broader process of childbearing, which may include partnership formation and quality. Sociodemographic factors strongly modify this pattern. Those who have children at older ages or who have more education have a particularly positive happiness response to a first birth; and although having the first two children increases happiness, having a third child does not. The results, which are similar in Britain and Germany, suggest that having up to two children increases happiness, and mostly for those who have postponed childbearing. This pattern is consistent with the fertility behavior that emerged during the second demographic transition and provides new insights into low and late fertility.
了解生育子女如何影响父母的主观幸福感(“幸福度”),对于解释生育行为具有巨大潜力。我们利用英国和德国的大型纵向数据集,研究孩子出生前后父母的幸福度轨迹。我们使用固定效应模型来考虑未观察到的父母特征,并研究社会人口因素如何改变父母的幸福度轨迹。与现有研究一致,我们发现,在第一个孩子出生前后的几年里幸福度会上升,然后降至生育前的水平。此外,在孩子出生前幸福度也会上升,这表明这些轨迹可能不仅反映了孩子出生的影响,还反映了更广泛的生育过程,其中可能包括伴侣关系的形成和质量。社会人口因素强烈改变了这种模式。那些生育年龄较大或受教育程度较高的人对第一个孩子的出生有特别积极的幸福度反应;虽然生育前两个孩子会增加幸福度,但生育第三个孩子则不会。在英国和德国得出的结果相似,表明生育至多两个孩子会增加幸福度,而且主要是对那些推迟生育的人而言。这种模式与第二次人口转变期间出现的生育行为一致,并为低生育率和晚育提供了新的见解。