Margolis Rachel, Myrskyla Mikko
Department of Sociology, Room 5326, Social Science Centre, The University of Western Ontario, London, ON N6A 5C2 Canada.
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad-Zuse-Str 1, 18057 Rostock, Germany ; Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics, London, UK ; Population Research Unit, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Eur J Popul. 2016;32(3):403-420. doi: 10.1007/s10680-016-9387-z. Epub 2016 Aug 22.
Demographers are interested in sex preferences for children because they can skew sex ratios and influence population-level fertility, parenting behavior, and family outcomes. Based on parity progression ratios, in most European countries, there are no sex preferences for a first child, but a strong preference for mixed-sex children. We hypothesize that mixed-sex preferences also influence parental happiness. Parents' disappointment with a second child of the same sex as the first could have negative effects for parents and children. We use longitudinal data from the German Socio-Economic Panel and the British Household Panel Study to examine parental happiness by the children's sex and analyze whether these effects differ by parent's sex, age, nativity, and educational attainment. The results are only partially consistent with predictions from parity progression ratios. As expected, parental happiness does not depend on the sex of the first child. We find weak evidence suggesting that two boys decrease happiness, but the findings are not consistent across German and British data or across subpopulations. Moreover, two girls do not reduce happiness. Although sex preferences influence fertility, they appear to have little impact on happiness, perhaps because of unobserved positive factors associated with having same-sex children.
人口统计学家对孩子的性别偏好感兴趣,因为它们会扭曲性别比例,并影响人口层面的生育率、养育行为和家庭状况。根据生育递进比例,在大多数欧洲国家,头胎没有性别偏好,但强烈偏好子女为不同性别。我们假设,对不同性别的偏好也会影响父母的幸福感。父母对第二个孩子与第一个孩子性别相同感到失望,可能会对父母和孩子产生负面影响。我们使用来自德国社会经济面板和英国家庭面板调查的纵向数据,按孩子的性别来考察父母的幸福感,并分析这些影响是否因父母的性别、年龄、出生地和教育程度而有所不同。结果只是部分符合生育递进比例的预测。正如预期的那样,父母的幸福感并不取决于头胎的性别。我们发现微弱的证据表明,两个男孩会降低幸福感,但这些发现并不在德国和英国的数据中保持一致,也不在各亚群体中保持一致。此外,两个女孩并不会降低幸福感。虽然性别偏好会影响生育率,但它们似乎对幸福感影响甚微,这可能是因为与有同性别的孩子相关的未被观察到的积极因素。