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使用微观层面模型生成生产性成功老龄化的宏观层面模型。

Using a micro-level model to generate a macro-level model of productive successful aging.

作者信息

Johnson Jessica K M, Sarkisian Natalia, Williamson John B

机构信息

Graduate School of Social Work, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts.

Department of Sociology, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts.

出版信息

Gerontologist. 2015 Feb;55(1):107-19. doi: 10.1093/geront/gnu089. Epub 2014 Sep 11.

Abstract

PURPOSE OF THE STUDY

Aging successfully entails good physical and cognitive health, as well as ongoing participation in social and productive activity. This study hones in on participation in productive activity, a factor that makes an important contribution to successful aging. One conceptual model of productive activity in later life specifies the antecedents and consequences of productivity. This study draws on that micro-level model to develop a corresponding macro-level model and assesses its utility for examining the predictors of and explaining the relationships between one form of productivity (labor force participation rates) and one aspect of well-being (average life expectancy) among males and females.

DESIGN AND METHODS

Random effects regression models and path analysis were used to analyze cross-national longitudinal data for 24 high-income Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries at seven time points (1980-2010; 168 observations total).

RESULTS

OECD countries with higher labor force participation rates among older workers have higher life expectancies. Labor force participation mediates the effects of gross domestic product per capita on male and female life expectancy, and it mediates the effect of self-employment rate for men, but it acts as a suppressor with regard to the effect of public spending on male and female life expectancy.

IMPLICATIONS

A well-known micro-level model of productive activity can be fruitfully adapted to account for macro-level cross-national variation in productivity and well-being.

摘要

研究目的

成功老龄化需要良好的身体和认知健康,以及持续参与社会和生产活动。本研究聚焦于参与生产活动,这一因素对成功老龄化有重要贡献。一个关于晚年生产活动的概念模型明确了生产力的前因和后果。本研究借鉴该微观层面模型来构建相应的宏观层面模型,并评估其在检验男性和女性的一种生产力形式(劳动力参与率)与一种幸福方面(平均预期寿命)之间的预测因素及解释两者关系的效用。

设计与方法

使用随机效应回归模型和路径分析来分析24个经济合作与发展组织(OECD)高收入国家在七个时间点(1980 - 2010年;共168次观测)的跨国纵向数据。

结果

老年工人劳动力参与率较高的经合组织国家,其预期寿命也较高。劳动力参与在人均国内生产总值对男性和女性预期寿命的影响中起中介作用,对男性而言,它在个体经营率的影响中起中介作用,但在公共支出对男性和女性预期寿命的影响方面,它起到抑制作用。

启示

一个著名的生产活动微观层面模型能够有效地加以调整,以解释生产力和幸福方面的宏观层面跨国差异。

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