State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of Environment, Nanjing University , Nanjing 210023, China.
Environ Sci Technol. 2014 Oct 21;48(20):11760-8. doi: 10.1021/es502655m. Epub 2014 Oct 10.
Water scarcity and uneven water distribution pose significant challenges to sustainable development and energy production in China. Based on the International Energy Agency (IEA)'s energy strategy scenarios for China, we evaluated the water withdrawal for energy production from 2011 to 2030. The results show that the amount of water withdrawal will be increased by 77% in 2030, which will aggravate China's water scarcity risk under current energy strategy. We also observed that 67% of the energy production in China occurs in areas that are facing water scarcity. Moreover, China's 12th Five-Year Plan of Energy Development does not change the existing energy strategies, and the planned total energy production is much higher than the IEA's projection, which will result in an increased demand for water resources. However, if China were to apply broad policies to reduce CO2 emissions, the amount of water withdrawal would also decline compared with current energy strategy. Thus, reforming China's energy structure and reducing energy usage are not only urgent because of climate challenges and air pollution but also essential to reducing the pressure of water scarcity.
水资源短缺和分布不均对中国的可持续发展和能源生产构成重大挑战。基于国际能源署(IEA)对中国的能源战略设想,我们评估了 2011 年至 2030 年能源生产的取水量。结果表明,2030 年取水量将增加 77%,这将加剧中国在现行能源战略下的水资源短缺风险。我们还发现,中国 67%的能源生产发生在面临水资源短缺的地区。此外,中国的《能源发展“十二五”规划》并没有改变现有的能源战略,规划的能源总产量远高于 IEA 的预测,这将导致对水资源的需求增加。然而,如果中国实施广泛的政策来减少二氧化碳排放,与现行能源战略相比,取水量也会下降。因此,改革中国的能源结构和减少能源使用不仅因为气候挑战和空气污染而紧迫,而且对于缓解水资源短缺的压力也是必要的。