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结合基于倾向评分的分层和加权方法以改善医疗保健干预评估中的因果推断。

Combining propensity score-based stratification and weighting to improve causal inference in the evaluation of health care interventions.

作者信息

Linden Ariel

机构信息

Linden Consulting Group, Ann Arbor, MI, USA; Department of Health Management & Policy, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.

出版信息

J Eval Clin Pract. 2014 Dec;20(6):1065-71. doi: 10.1111/jep.12254. Epub 2014 Sep 29.

Abstract

When a randomized controlled trial is not feasible, a key strategy in observational studies is to ensure that intervention and control groups are comparable on observed characteristics and assume that the remaining unmeasured characteristics will not bias the results. In the past few years, propensity score-based techniques such as matching, stratification and weighting have become increasingly popular for evaluating health care interventions. Recently, marginal mean weighting through stratification (MMWS) has been introduced as a flexible pre-processing approach that combines the salient features of propensity score stratification and weighting to remove imbalances of pre-intervention characteristics between two or more groups under study. The weight is then used within the appropriate outcome model to provide unbiased estimates of treatment effects. In this paper, the MMWS technique is introduced by illustrating its implementation in three typical experimental conditions: a binary treatment (treatment versus control), an ordinal level treatment (varying doses) and nominal treatments (multiple independent arms). These methods are demonstrated in the context of health care evaluations by examining the pre-post difference in hospitalizations following the implementation of a disease management program for patients with congestive heart failure. Because of the flexibility and wide application of MMWS, it should be considered as an alternative procedure for use with observational data to evaluate the effectiveness of health care interventions.

摘要

当随机对照试验不可行时,观察性研究中的一个关键策略是确保干预组和对照组在观察到的特征上具有可比性,并假定其余未测量的特征不会使结果产生偏差。在过去几年中,基于倾向评分的技术,如匹配、分层和加权,在评估医疗保健干预措施方面越来越受欢迎。最近,通过分层进行边际均值加权(MMWS)作为一种灵活的预处理方法被引入,它结合了倾向评分分层和加权的显著特征,以消除研究中的两个或更多组之间干预前特征的不平衡。然后,权重在适当的结果模型中使用,以提供无偏的治疗效果估计。在本文中,通过说明MMWS技术在三种典型实验条件下的实施情况来介绍该技术:二元治疗(治疗与对照)、有序水平治疗(不同剂量)和名义治疗(多个独立组)。通过检查对充血性心力衰竭患者实施疾病管理计划后住院情况的前后差异,在医疗保健评估的背景下展示了这些方法。由于MMWS的灵活性和广泛应用,它应被视为用于观察性数据以评估医疗保健干预措施有效性的一种替代方法。

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