Feng Yu, Yu Di, Chen Tao, Liu Jin, Tong Xing, Yang Lei, Da Min, Shen Shutong, Fan Changfeng, Wang Song, Mo Xuming
Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, The Affiliated Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
PLoS One. 2014 Oct 8;9(10):e108944. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0108944. eCollection 2014.
Epidemiological studies have reported conflicting results regarding maternal parity and the risk of congenital heart defects (CHDs). However, a meta-analysis of the association between maternal parity and CHDs in offspring has not been conducted.
We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE for articles catalogued between their inception and March 8, 2014; we identified relevant published studies that assessed the association between maternal parity and CHD risk. Two authors independently assessed the eligibility of the retrieved articles and extracted data from them. Study-specific relative risk estimates were pooled by random-effects or fixed-effects models. From the 11272 references, a total of 16 case-control studies and 3 cohort studies were enrolled in this meta-analysis.
The overall relative risk of CHD in parous versus nulliparous women was 1.01 (95% CI, 0.97-1.06; Q = 32.34; P = 0.006; I2 = 53.6%). Furthermore, we observed a significant association between the highest versus lowest parity number, with an overall RR = 1.20 (95% CI, 1.10-1.31; (Q = 74.61, P<0.001, I2 = 82.6%). A dose-response analysis also indicated a positive effect of maternal parity on CHD risk, and the overall increase in relative risk per one live birth was 1.06 (95% CI, 1.02-1.09); Q = 68.09; P<0.001; I2 = 80.9%). We conducted stratified and meta-regression analyses to identify the origin of the heterogeneity among studies. A Galbraith plot was created to graphically assess the sources of heterogeneity.
In summary, this meta-analysis provided a robust estimate of the positive association between maternal parity and risk of CHD.
流行病学研究报告了关于产妇生育次数与先天性心脏病(CHD)风险之间相互矛盾的结果。然而,尚未对产妇生育次数与后代先天性心脏病之间的关联进行荟萃分析。
我们检索了MEDLINE和EMBASE中从创刊至2014年3月8日编入目录的文章;我们确定了评估产妇生育次数与冠心病风险之间关联的相关已发表研究。两位作者独立评估检索到的文章的合格性并从中提取数据。通过随机效应或固定效应模型汇总特定研究的相对风险估计值。从11272篇参考文献中,本荟萃分析共纳入了16项病例对照研究和3项队列研究。
经产妇与未产妇患冠心病的总体相对风险为1.01(95%可信区间,0.97 - 1.06;Q = 32.34;P = 0.006;I² = 53.6%)。此外,我们观察到最高生育次数与最低生育次数之间存在显著关联,总体相对风险为1.20(95%可信区间,1.10 - 1.31;(Q = 74.61,P < 0.001,I² = 82.6%)。剂量反应分析还表明产妇生育次数对冠心病风险有正向影响,每多生育一个活产儿相对风险的总体增加为1.06(95%可信区间,1.02 - 1.09);Q = 68.09;P < 0.001;I² = 80.9%)。我们进行了分层分析和荟萃回归分析以确定研究间异质性的来源。创建了Galbraith图以图形方式评估异质性来源。
总之,本荟萃分析对产妇生育次数与冠心病风险之间的正相关提供了可靠估计。