Thiem Alrik
Department of Philosophy, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
Eval Rev. 2014 Dec;38(6):487-513. doi: 10.1177/0193841X14550863. Epub 2014 Oct 9.
In recent years, the method of Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) has been enjoying increasing levels of popularity in evaluation and directly neighboring fields. Its holistic approach to causal data analysis resonates with researchers whose theories posit complex conjunctions of conditions and events. However, due to QCA's relative immaturity, some of its technicalities and objectives have not yet been well understood.
In this article, I seek to raise awareness of six pitfalls of employing QCA with regard to the following three central aspects: case numbers, necessity relations, and model ambiguities. Most importantly, I argue that case numbers are irrelevant to the methodological choice of QCA or any of its variants, that necessity is not as simple a concept as it has been suggested by many methodologists, and that doubt must be cast on the determinacy of virtually all results presented in past QCA research.
By means of empirical examples from published articles, I explain the background of these pitfalls and introduce appropriate procedures, partly with reference to current software, that help avoid them.
QCA carries great potential for scholars in evaluation and directly neighboring areas interested in the analysis of complex dependencies in configurational data. If users beware of the pitfalls introduced in this article, and if they avoid mechanistic adherence to doubtful "standards of good practice" at this stage of development, then research with QCA will gain in quality, as a result of which a more solid foundation for cumulative knowledge generation and well-informed policy decisions will also be created.
近年来,定性比较分析(QCA)方法在评估及直接相关领域越来越受欢迎。其对因果数据分析的整体方法与那些理论假定条件和事件存在复杂结合的研究人员产生了共鸣。然而,由于QCA相对不成熟,其一些技术细节和目标尚未得到很好的理解。
在本文中,我试图提高人们对在以下三个核心方面使用QCA时六个陷阱的认识:案例数量、必要性关系和模型模糊性。最重要的是,我认为案例数量与QCA及其任何变体的方法选择无关,必要性并非许多方法论者所认为的那样简单,并且必须对过去QCA研究中几乎所有呈现结果的确定性提出质疑。
通过已发表文章中的实证例子,我解释了这些陷阱的背景,并介绍了适当的程序,部分参考了当前软件,以帮助避免这些陷阱。
对于评估及直接相关领域中对构型数据中复杂依赖性分析感兴趣的学者而言,QCA具有巨大潜力。如果用户留意本文中介绍的陷阱,并且在现阶段的发展中避免机械地遵循可疑的“良好实践标准”,那么使用QCA进行的研究质量将会提高,从而也将为累积知识生成和明智的政策决策奠定更坚实的基础。