Rugh Jacob S, Massey Douglas S
Office of Population Research, Princeton University.
Am Sociol Rev. 2010 Oct 1;75(5):629-651. doi: 10.1177/0003122410380868.
Although the rise in subprime lending and the ensuing wave of foreclosures was partly a result of market forces that have been well-identified in the literature, in the United States it was also a highly racialized process. We argue that residential segregation created a unique niche of poor minority clients who were differentially marketed risky subprime loans that were in great demand for use in mortgage-backed securities that could be sold on secondary markets. We test this argument by regressing foreclosure actions in the top 100 U.S. metropolitan areas on measures of black, Hispanic, and Asian segregation while controlling for a variety of housing market conditions, including average creditworthiness, the extent of coverage under the Community Reinvestment Act, the degree of zoning regulation, and the overall rate of subprime lending. We find that black residential dissimilarity and spatial isolation are powerful predictors of foreclosures across U.S. metropolitan areas. In order to isolate subprime lending as the causal mechanism whereby segregation influences foreclosures, we estimate a two-stage least squares model that confirms the causal effect of black segregation on the number and rate of foreclosures across metropolitan areas. In the United States segregation was an important contributing cause of the foreclosure crisis, along with overbuilding, risky lending practices, lax regulation, and the bursting of the housing price bubble.
尽管次级贷款的增加以及随之而来的止赎潮部分是文献中已明确指出的市场力量作用的结果,但在美国,这也是一个高度种族化的过程。我们认为,居住隔离造就了一个独特的贫困少数族裔客户群体,他们被差异化地推销高风险次级贷款,这些贷款因用于可在二级市场出售的抵押支持证券而有巨大需求。我们通过将美国前100个大都市区的止赎行为对黑人、西班牙裔和亚裔隔离程度的指标进行回归来检验这一论点,同时控制各种住房市场状况,包括平均信用度、《社区再投资法》的覆盖范围、分区管制程度以及次级贷款的总体比率。我们发现,黑人居住差异和空间隔离是美国大都市区止赎情况的有力预测指标。为了将次级贷款作为隔离影响止赎的因果机制分离出来,我们估计了一个两阶段最小二乘法模型,该模型证实了黑人隔离对大都市区止赎数量和比率的因果效应。在美国,隔离是止赎危机的一个重要促成因素,此外还有过度建设、高风险贷款行为、监管宽松以及房价泡沫破裂等因素。