Success in NCLEX-RN: identifying predictors and optimal timing for intervention.

This ex post facto study was designed to identify predictors of success in the NCLEX-RN and determine the optimal point in time for identifying students at risk. The convenience sample consisted of 407 graduates of an integrated, upper division, baccalaureate nursing program, 1984-1987. Prematriculation (total lower division GPA, science GPA, type of lower division College, age, and sex), junior year (three Nursing theory course grades) and pre graduation variables (three senior year nursing theory course grades and Mosby ASSESSTEST) were analyzed for predictive value. Nursing theory courses at the junior and senior year and the Mosby ASSESSTEST strongly correlated (p less than .0001) with NCLEX performance. Discriminant analysis enabled successful classification of 62% of the sample at prematriculation, 81% at the end of the junior year, and 86% at the end of the senior year. The study indicates that students at high risk can be identified at the end of the junior year so that enrichment and support programs can be introduced at that time.