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肺移植等待名单上的死亡率:身高作为不良结局的预测指标。

Lung transplant waitlist mortality: height as a predictor of poor outcomes.

作者信息

Keeshan Britton C, Rossano Joseph W, Beck Nicole, Hammond Rachel, Kreindler James, Spray Thomas L, Fuller Stephanie, Goldfarb Samuel

机构信息

Division of Cardiology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

出版信息

Pediatr Transplant. 2015 May;19(3):294-300. doi: 10.1111/petr.12390. Epub 2014 Nov 19.

Abstract

The LAS was designed to minimize pretransplant mortality while maximizing post-transplant outcome. Recipients <12 are not allocated lungs based on LAS. Waitlist mortality has decreased for those >12, but not <12, suggesting this population may be disadvantaged. To identify predictors of waitlist mortality, a retrospective analysis of the UNOS database was performed since implementation of the LAS. There were 16,973 patients listed for lung transplant in the United States; 12,070 (71.1%) were transplanted, and 2498 (14.7%) patients died or were removed from the wait list. Significantly more pediatric patients died or were removed compared with adults (22.0% vs. 14.4%, p < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, in addition to higher LAS at time of listing (adj. HR1.058, 1.055-1.060), shorter height (1.008, 1.006-1.010), male gender (1.210, 1.110-1.319), and requiring ECMO (1.613, 1.202-2.163) were associated with pretransplant mortality. Post-transplant survival was not affected by height. The current age cutoff may impose limitations within the current lung allocation system in the United States. Height is an independent predictor of waitlist mortality and may be a valuable factor for the development of a comprehensive lung allocation system.

摘要

肺分配评分(LAS)的设计目的是在将移植后结果最大化的同时,尽量降低移植前死亡率。12岁以下的受者不根据LAS分配肺源。12岁以上患者的等待名单死亡率有所下降,但12岁以下患者并非如此,这表明该人群可能处于不利地位。为了确定等待名单死亡率的预测因素,自LAS实施以来,对器官共享联合网络(UNOS)数据库进行了回顾性分析。在美国,有16973名患者被列入肺移植等待名单;其中12070名(71.1%)接受了移植,2498名(14.7%)患者死亡或被从等待名单中移除。与成人相比,儿科患者死亡或被移除的比例明显更高(22.0%对14.4%,p<0.01)。在多变量分析中,除了列入名单时较高的LAS(调整后风险比1.058,1.055 - 1.060)外,身高较矮(1.008,1.006 - 1.010)、男性(1.210,1.110 - 1.319)以及需要体外膜肺氧合(ECMO)(1.613,1.202 - 2.163)与移植前死亡率相关。移植后的生存情况不受身高影响。目前的年龄界限可能在美国当前的肺分配系统中造成限制。身高是等待名单死亡率的一个独立预测因素,可能是开发全面肺分配系统的一个有价值的因素。

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