智利女性人乳头瘤病毒疫苗的健康经济分析:基于马尔可夫模型的医疗保健支付方视角

Health economic analysis of human papillomavirus vaccines in women of Chile: perspective of the health care payer using a Markov model.

作者信息

Gomez Jorge Alberto, Lepetic Alejandro, Demarteau Nadia

机构信息

GSK Vaccines Latin America, Carlos Casares, 3690, B1644CD Victoria, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2014 Nov 26;14:1222. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-14-1222.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In Chile, significant reductions in cervical cancer incidence and mortality have been observed due to implementation of a well-organized screening program. However, it has been suggested that the inclusion of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination for young adolescent women may be the best prospect to further reduce the burden of cervical cancer. This cost-effectiveness study comparing two available HPV vaccines in Chile was performed to support decision making on the implementation of universal HPV vaccination.

METHODS

The present analysis used an existing static Markov model to assess the effect of screening and vaccination. This analysis includes the epidemiology of low-risk HPV types allowing for the comparison between the two vaccines (HPV-16/18 AS04-adjuvanted vaccine and the HPV-6/11/16/18 vaccine), latest cross-protection data on HPV vaccines, treatment costs for cervical cancer, vaccine costs and 6% discounting per the health economic guideline for Chile.

RESULTS

Projected incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICERs) for the HPV-16/18 AS04-adjuvanted vaccine was 116 United States (US) dollars per quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained or 147 US dollars per life-years (LY) saved, while the projected ICUR/ICER for the HPV-6/11/16/18 vaccine was 541 US dollars per QALY gained or 726 US dollars per LY saved. Introduction of any HPV vaccine to the present cervical cancer prevention program of Chile is estimated to be highly cost-effective (below 1X gross domestic product [GDP] per capita, 14278 US dollars). In Chile, the addition of HPV-16/18 AS04-adjuvanted vaccine to the existing screening program dominated the addition of HPV-6/11/16/18 vaccine. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis results show that the HPV-16/18 AS04-adjuvanted vaccine is expected to be dominant and cost-saving in 69.3% and 77.6% of the replicates respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings indicate that the addition of any HPV vaccine to the current cervical screening program of Chile will be advantageous. However, this cost-effectiveness model shows that the HPV-16/18 AS04-adjuvanted vaccine dominated the HPV-6/11/16/18 vaccine. Beyond the context of Chile, the data from this modelling exercise may support healthcare policy and decision-making pertaining to introduction of HPV vaccination in similar resource settings in the region.

摘要

背景

在智利,由于实施了组织完善的筛查计划,宫颈癌的发病率和死亡率显著降低。然而,有人提出为年轻青春期女性接种人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)疫苗可能是进一步减轻宫颈癌负担的最佳前景。本成本效益研究对智利现有的两种HPV疫苗进行了比较,以支持关于实施HPV普遍接种的决策。

方法

本分析使用现有的静态马尔可夫模型来评估筛查和接种的效果。该分析纳入了低风险HPV类型的流行病学情况,以便对两种疫苗(HPV-16/18 AS04佐剂疫苗和HPV-6/11/16/18疫苗)进行比较,还纳入了HPV疫苗的最新交叉保护数据、宫颈癌的治疗成本、疫苗成本以及按照智利卫生经济指南的6%贴现率。

结果

HPV-16/18 AS04佐剂疫苗的预计增量成本效用比(ICUR)和增量成本效益比(ICER)为每获得一个质量调整生命年(QALY)增加116美元,或每挽救一个生命年(LY)增加147美元,而HPV-6/11/16/18疫苗的预计ICUR/ICER为每获得一个QALY增加541美元,或每挽救一个LY增加726美元。预计在智利现有的宫颈癌预防计划中引入任何一种HPV疫苗都具有很高的成本效益(低于人均国内生产总值[GDP]的1倍,即14278美元)。在智利,在现有筛查计划中添加HPV-16/18 AS04佐剂疫苗优于添加HPV-6/11/16/18疫苗。概率敏感性分析结果显示,HPV-16/18 AS04佐剂疫苗预计在分别69.3%和77.6%的模拟中占主导地位且节省成本。

结论

研究结果表明,在智利当前的宫颈癌筛查计划中添加任何一种HPV疫苗都是有益的。然而,这种成本效益模型表明,HPV-16/18 AS04佐剂疫苗优于HPV-6/11/16/18疫苗。在智利以外的地区,该建模分析的数据可能支持在该地区类似资源环境中引入HPV疫苗的医疗政策和决策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/76d4/4289178/de258fb2a57c/12889_2013_7394_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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