Shankar-Hari Manu, Donnelly Antonia, Pinto Ruxandra, Salih Zaid, McKenzie Cathrine, Terblanche Marius, Adhikari Neill K J
Division of Asthma, Allergy and Lung Biology, King's College London, Department of Critical Care Medicine, St. Thomas' Hospital, 1st Floor, East Wing, Westminster Bridge Road, London, SE1 7EH UK.
Emergency Department, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Tremona Road, Southampton, SO16 6YD UK.
BMC Anesthesiol. 2014 Nov 19;14:106. doi: 10.1186/1471-2253-14-106. eCollection 2014.
In the context of infection, progressive illness resulting in acute organ dysfunction is thought to be secondary to inflammatory response. Our aims were to determine risk factors for progressive illness following infection in a low-risk hospitalised cohort, including the impact of prior stain therapy.
We performed a prospective observational cohort study on two adult acute medical wards of a single tertiary academic hospital. We screened drug prescription charts of all adult acute medical admissions for inclusion criteria of inpatient administration of antibiotics for more than 24 hours for a microbiologically confirmed or clinically suspected infection. Patients were followed until admission to a high dependency unit (HDU) or intensive care unit (ICU), discharge from hospital, or to a maximum of 10 days. Outcomes were evolution of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, white cell count and C-reactive protein measurements, and adverse clinical outcomes. We constructed multivariable models accounting for repeated within-patient measurements to determine associations between a priori selected predictors (days since admission, age, gender, Charlson score, prior statin exposure) and selected outcomes.
We enrolled 209 patients; 27.8% were statin users and the commonest infection was pneumonia (51.0%). Most (88.0%) had at least 1 SIRS criterion on admission, and 76 (37.3%) manifested additional SIRS criteria over time. Risks of admission to HDU/ICU (3.3%) and of 30-day mortality (5.7%) were low. The proportion of patients with at least 1 SIRS criterion, mean CRP, and mean WBC all decreased over time. Multivariable regression models identified days since hospital admission as the only variable associated with daily presence of SIRS criteria, WCC, or CRP (adjusted OR <1 and p < 0.0001 in all analyses). Statin exposure was not a significant predictor.
This cohort of ward patients treated for infection had a low risk of clinical deterioration, inflammatory markers improved over time, and statin exposure was not associated with any outcome. Future larger studies may identify risk factors for progression of illness in this population and plausible surrogate endpoints for evaluation in clinical trials.
在感染的情况下,导致急性器官功能障碍的进行性疾病被认为是炎症反应的继发结果。我们的目的是确定低风险住院队列中感染后进行性疾病的危险因素,包括既往他汀类药物治疗的影响。
我们在一家三级学术医院的两个成人急性内科病房进行了一项前瞻性观察队列研究。我们筛查了所有成人急性内科住院患者的药物处方图表,以确定因微生物学确诊或临床怀疑感染而接受抗生素住院治疗超过24小时的纳入标准。对患者进行随访,直至入住高依赖病房(HDU)或重症监护病房(ICU)、出院,或最长随访10天。观察指标为全身炎症反应综合征(SIRS)标准的演变、白细胞计数和C反应蛋白测量值,以及不良临床结局。我们构建了多变量模型,考虑患者内重复测量,以确定预先选定的预测因素(入院天数、年龄、性别、Charlson评分、既往他汀类药物暴露)与选定结局之间的关联。
我们纳入了209例患者;27.8%为他汀类药物使用者,最常见的感染是肺炎(51.0%)。大多数患者(88.0%)入院时至少有1项SIRS标准,76例(37.3%)随着时间推移出现了额外的SIRS标准。入住HDU/ICU的风险(3.3%)和30天死亡率(5.7%)较低。至少有1项SIRS标准的患者比例、平均CRP和平均WBC均随时间下降。多变量回归模型确定入院天数是与每日存在SIRS标准、白细胞计数或CRP相关的唯一变量(所有分析中调整后的OR<1且p<0.0001)。他汀类药物暴露不是一个显著的预测因素。
这一感染病房患者队列临床恶化风险较低,炎症标志物随时间改善,他汀类药物暴露与任何结局均无关联。未来更大规模的研究可能会确定该人群疾病进展的危险因素以及临床试验中用于评估的合理替代终点。