Kaier Klaus, Gutmann Anja, Vach Werner, Sorg Stefan, Siepe Matthias, von Zur Mühlen Constantin, Moser Martin, Blanke Philipp, Beyersdorf Friedhelm, Zehender Manfred, Bode Christoph, Reinöhl Jochen
Clinical Epidemiology, Center for Medical Biometry and Medical Informatics, Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
EuroIntervention. 2015 Nov;11(7):793-8. doi: 10.4244/EIJY14M12_06.
Little is known about how "Heart Team" treatment decisions among patients suitable for either surgical aortic valve replacement (AVR) or transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) are made under routine conditions.
The "Heart Team" decision-making process was analysed with respect to124 patients of a non-randomised prospective clinical trial that included patients aged ≥75 years: 41 patients underwent AVR and 83 underwent TAVI. By use of the non-parametric classification and regression tree (CART) methodology, 21 baseline parameters were tested to reconstruct the decision process retrospectively. Next, multivariate logistic and Cox regression models were fitted to evaluate the decision and outcome relevance (two-year survival) of the parameters as identified in the CART procedure. For patients with a baseline EuroSCORE I ≥13.48%, no further cut-off points were identified and the majority of these patients underwent TAVI. Among patients with a baseline EuroSCORE I <13.48%, age and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) were identified as further relevant decision parameters. The decision relevance of EuroSCORE I (p=0.003), age (p=0.024) and LVEF (p=0.047) were confirmed by multivariate analysis; however, outcome relevance can be confirmed for EuroSCORE I (p=0.015) only, while treatment decision (TAVI or AVR) was not a significant predictor of mortality (p=0.655).
Despite or even because of the systematic risk selection according to EuroSCORE I values, we observed two-year survival rates of about 75% regardless of whether the patient received TAVI or AVR, suggesting that the decisions made by the "Heart Team" were appropriate.
对于适合外科主动脉瓣置换术(AVR)或经导管主动脉瓣植入术(TAVI)的患者,在常规情况下如何做出“心脏团队”治疗决策,目前所知甚少。
对一项非随机前瞻性临床试验中的124例患者(年龄≥75岁)的“心脏团队”决策过程进行了分析:41例患者接受了AVR,83例患者接受了TAVI。使用非参数分类与回归树(CART)方法,对21个基线参数进行测试,以回顾性重建决策过程。接下来,拟合多变量逻辑回归和Cox回归模型,以评估CART程序中确定的参数的决策和结果相关性(两年生存率)。对于基线欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统(EuroSCORE)I≥13.48%的患者,未确定进一步的切点,这些患者中的大多数接受了TAVI。在基线EuroSCORE I<13.48%的患者中,年龄和左心室射血分数(LVEF)被确定为进一步的相关决策参数。多变量分析证实了EuroSCORE I(p=0.003)、年龄(p=0.024)和LVEF(p=0.047)的决策相关性;然而,仅EuroSCORE I(p=0.015)的结果相关性可以得到证实,而治疗决策(TAVI或AVR)不是死亡率的显著预测因素(p=0.655)。
尽管甚至由于根据EuroSCORE I值进行了系统的风险选择,但我们观察到,无论患者接受TAVI还是AVR,两年生存率约为75%,这表明“心脏团队”做出的决策是合适的。