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评估用于育肥牛群牛呼吸道疾病早期检测的射频识别饲喂系统的成本影响。

Evaluating the cost implications of a radio frequency identification feeding system for early detection of bovine respiratory disease in feedlot cattle.

作者信息

Wolfger Barbara, Manns Braden J, Barkema Herman W, Schwartzkopf-Genswein Karen S, Dorin Craig, Orsel Karin

机构信息

Department of Production Animal Health, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Calgary, 3330 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB T2N 4N1, Canada.

Department of Community Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB T2N 4Z6, Canada.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 2015 Mar 1;118(4):285-92. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2014.12.001. Epub 2014 Dec 11.

Abstract

New technologies to identify diseased feedlot cattle in early stages of illness have been developed to reduce costs and welfare impacts associated with bovine respiratory disease (BRD). However, the economic value of early BRD detection has never been assessed. The objective was to simulate cost differences between two BRD detection methods during the first 61 d on feed (DOF) applied in moderate- to large-sized feedlots using an automated recording system (ARS) for feeding behavior and the current industry standard, pen-checking (visual appraisal confirmed by rectal temperature). Economic impact was assessed with a cost analysis in a simple decision model. Scenarios for Canadian and US feedlots with high- and low-risk cattle were modeled, and uncertainty was estimated using extensive sensitivity analyses. Input costs and probabilities were mainly extracted from publicly accessible market observations and a large-scale US feedlot study. In the baseline scenario, we modeled high-risk cattle with a treatment rate of 20% within the first 61 DOF in a feedlot of >8000 cattle in Canada. Early BRD detection was estimated to result in a relative risk of 0.60 in retreatment and 0.66 in mortality compared to pen-checking (based on previously published estimates). The additional cost of monitoring health with ARS in Canadian dollar (CAD) was 13.68 per steer. Scenario analysis for similar sized US feedlots and low-risk cattle with a treatment rate of 8% were included to account for variability in costs and probabilities in various cattle populations. Considering the cost of monitoring, all relevant treatment costs and sale price, ARS was more costly than visual appraisal during the first 61 DOF by CAD 9.61 and CAD 9.69 per steer in Canada and the US, respectively. This cost difference increased in low-risk cattle in Canada to CAD 12.45. Early BRD detection with ARS became less expensive if the costs for the system decreased to less than CAD 4.06/steer, or if the underlying true BRD incidence (not treatment rate) within the first 61 DOF exceeded 47%. The model was robust to variability in the remaining input variables. Some of the assumptions in the baseline analyses were conservative and may have underestimated the real value of early BRD detection. Systems such as ARS may reduce treatment costs in some scenarios, but the investment costs are currently too high to be cost-effective when used solely for BRD detection compared to pen-checking.

摘要

已开发出用于在疾病早期阶段识别患病育肥牛的新技术,以降低与牛呼吸道疾病(BRD)相关的成本和福利影响。然而,BRD早期检测的经济价值从未得到评估。目标是使用自动记录系统(ARS)记录采食行为,在中型至大型育肥场应用的前61天饲养期(DOF)内,模拟两种BRD检测方法之间的成本差异,以及当前行业标准的圈舍检查(通过直肠温度确认的视觉评估)。通过在一个简单决策模型中进行成本分析来评估经济影响。对加拿大和美国高风险和低风险牛的育肥场情况进行了建模,并使用广泛的敏感性分析估计了不确定性。投入成本和概率主要从公开可得的市场观察结果和一项美国大型育肥场研究中提取。在基准情景中,我们对加拿大一个存栏量超过8000头牛的育肥场在前61天饲养期内治疗率为20%的高风险牛进行了建模。与圈舍检查相比(基于先前发表的估计),估计BRD早期检测导致再次治疗的相对风险为0.60,死亡率的相对风险为0.66。用加元(CAD)计算,使用ARS监测健康状况的额外成本为每头牛13.68加元。纳入了对类似规模的美国育肥场和治疗率为8%的低风险牛的情景分析,以考虑不同牛群成本和概率的变异性。考虑到监测成本、所有相关治疗成本和销售价格,在加拿大和美国,在前61天饲养期内,ARS分别比视觉评估每头牛贵9.61加元和9.69加元。在加拿大,这种成本差异在低风险牛中增加到12.45加元。如果系统成本降至每头牛低于4.06加元,或者如果在前61天饲养期内潜在的真实BRD发病率(而非治疗率)超过47%,使用ARS进行BRD早期检测的成本会降低。该模型对其余输入变量的变异性具有稳健性。基准分析中的一些假设较为保守,可能低估了BRD早期检测的实际价值。与圈舍检查相比,ARS等系统在某些情况下可能会降低治疗成本,但目前投资成本过高,仅用于BRD检测时不具有成本效益。

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