Koyner Jay L, Shaw Andrew D, Chawla Lakhmir S, Hoste Eric A J, Bihorac Azra, Kashani Kianoush, Haase Michael, Shi Jing, Kellum John A
Section of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois;
Department of Anesthesiology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee;
J Am Soc Nephrol. 2015 Jul;26(7):1747-54. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2014060556. Epub 2014 Dec 22.
Tissue inhibitor metalloproteinase-2 (TIMP-2) and IGF-binding protein-7 (IGFBP7) have been validated for risk stratification in AKI. However, the association of urinary TIMP-2 and IGFBP7 with long-term outcomes is unknown. We evaluated the 9-month incidence of a composite end point of all-cause mortality or the need for RRT in a secondary analysis of a prospective observational international study of critically ill adults. Two predefined [TIMP-2]⋅[IGFBP7] cutoffs (0.3 for high sensitivity and 2.0 for high specificity) for the development of AKI were evaluated. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine risk for the composite end point. Baseline [TIMP-2]⋅[IGFBP7] values were available for 692 subjects, of whom 382 (55.2%) subjects developed stage 1 AKI (defined by Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes guidelines) within 72 hours of enrollment and 217 (31.4%) subjects met the composite end point. Univariate analysis showed that [TIMP-2]⋅[IGFBP7]>2.0 was associated with increased risk of the composite end point (hazard ratio [HR], 2.11; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.37 to 3.23; P<0.001). In a multivariate analysis adjusted for the clinical model, [TIMP-2]⋅[IGFBP7] levels>0.3 were associated with death or RRT only in subjects who developed AKI (compared with levels≤0.3: HR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.00 to 2.06 for levels>0.3 to ≤2.0; P=0.05 and HR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.32 to 3.53 for levels>2.0; P=0.002). In conclusion, [TIMP-2]⋅[IGFBP7] measured early in the setting of critical illness may identify patients with AKI at increased risk for mortality or receipt of RRT over the next 9 months.
组织金属蛋白酶抑制剂-2(TIMP-2)和胰岛素样生长因子结合蛋白-7(IGFBP7)已被证实可用于急性肾损伤(AKI)的风险分层。然而,尿TIMP-2和IGFBP7与长期预后的关联尚不清楚。在一项针对危重症成人的前瞻性观察性国际研究的二次分析中,我们评估了全因死亡率或肾脏替代治疗(RRT)需求这一复合终点的9个月发生率。评估了两个预先定义的用于发生AKI的[TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7]临界值(高敏感性为0.3,高特异性为2.0)。采用Cox比例风险模型确定复合终点的风险。692名受试者有基线[TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7]值,其中382名(55.2%)受试者在入组后72小时内发生1期AKI(根据改善全球肾脏病预后组织指南定义),217名(31.4%)受试者达到复合终点。单因素分析显示,[TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7]>2.0与复合终点风险增加相关(风险比[HR],2.11;95%置信区间[95%CI],1.37至3.23;P<0.001)。在针对临床模型进行调整的多因素分析中,[TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7]水平>0.3仅在发生AKI的受试者中与死亡或RRT相关(与水平≤0.3相比:水平>0.3至≤2.0时,HR,1.44;95%CI,1.00至2.06;P=0.05;水平>2.0时,HR,2.16;95%CI,1.32至3.53;P=0.002)。总之,在危重症情况下早期测量的[TIMP-可以识别出在接下来9个月内发生AKI且死亡或接受RRT风险增加的患者。