Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI, United States.
Resuscitation. 2015 Apr;89:169-76. doi: 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2015.01.006. Epub 2015 Jan 29.
It is unknown whether older patients with out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) have worse outcomes because of aging itself, or because age can be a marker for overall health status. We aimed to study the prognostic utility of age and pre-arrest comorbidities.
We conducted a retrospective cohort study, reviewing electronic health records of all adults treated for non-traumatic OHCA in the University of Michigan Emergency Department (N=588). Primary covariates included age, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and a combined Charlson-age index. The primary dichotomized outcome was favorable neurological outcome (cerebral performance category, 1-2), evaluated by logistic regressions.
Dementia (p=0.01), witnessed arrest (p=0.03), bystander CPR (p<0.001), presenting rhythm (p<0.001), and mild therapeutic hypothermia (p<0.001) were associated with the primary outcome. Increasing age (unadjusted OR for each decade of life, 95% CI: 0.78, 0.70-0.88; adjusted 0.79, 0.67-0.94) was negatively associated with likelihood of a favorable neurological outcome. CCI and combined Charlson-age index significantly predicted outcome in the unadjusted, but not adjusted analysis. Composite variables were stronger predictors in patients with shockable than non-shockable presenting rhythms (interaction terms: age and rhythm [p=0.004], CCI and rhythm [p=0.01]).
Age, but not CCI, was significantly associated with less favorable neurological outcomes in patients with OHCA after adjusting important covariates. Age appears to be an independent predictor of prognosis rather than a marker for comorbidity.
目前尚不清楚院外心脏骤停(OHCA)的老年患者预后较差是因为衰老本身,还是因为年龄可能是整体健康状况的一个标志物。我们旨在研究年龄和发病前合并症的预后预测价值。
我们进行了一项回顾性队列研究,对密歇根大学急诊科治疗的所有非创伤性 OHCA 成年患者的电子健康记录(N=588)进行了回顾。主要协变量包括年龄、Charlson 合并症指数(CCI)和Charlson-年龄综合指数。主要的二分类结局是良好的神经功能结局(脑功能分类,1-2 级),通过逻辑回归进行评估。
痴呆(p=0.01)、目击性骤停(p=0.03)、旁观者心肺复苏(p<0.001)、初始节律(p<0.001)和亚低温治疗(p<0.001)与主要结局相关。年龄增加(每十年生命的未调整比值比,95%置信区间:0.78,0.70-0.88;调整后 0.79,0.67-0.94)与良好的神经功能结局的可能性呈负相关。CCI 和Charlson-年龄综合指数在未调整分析中显著预测了结局,但在调整分析中则不然。复合变量在有可除颤和无可除颤初始节律的患者中是更强的预测因素(交互项:年龄和节律[p=0.004],CCI 和节律[p=0.01])。
在调整了重要协变量后,年龄与 OHCA 患者预后较差显著相关,但CCI 则不然。年龄似乎是预后的独立预测因素,而不是合并症的标志物。