Miech Richard A, Johnston Lloyd, O'Malley Patrick M, Bachman Jerald G, Schulenberg John, Patrick Megan E
University of Michigan, 426 Thompson Street, Ann Arbor, MI 48104, USA.
University of Michigan, 426 Thompson Street, Ann Arbor, MI 48104, USA.
Int J Drug Policy. 2015 Apr;26(4):336-44. doi: 10.1016/j.drugpo.2015.01.009. Epub 2015 Jan 14.
This analysis examines decriminalization as a risk factor for future increases in youth marijuana acceptance and use. Specifically, we examine marijuana-related behaviors and attitudes of 8th, 10th, and 12th graders in California as compared to other U.S. states during the years before and after California passed legislation in 2010 to decriminalize marijuana.
Data come from Monitoring the Future, an annual, nationally representative survey of 8th, 10th, and 12th grade students.
In 2012 and afterwards California 12th graders as compared to their peers in other states became (a) 25% more likely to have used marijuana in the past 30 days, (b) 20% less likely to perceive regular marijuana use as a great health risk, (c) 20% less likely to strongly disapprove of regular marijuana use, and (d) about 60% more likely to expect to be using marijuana five years in the future. Analysis of 10th graders raises the possibility that the findings among 12th graders may reflect a cohort effect that was set into place two years earlier.
These results provide empirical evidence to support concerns that decriminalization may be a risk factor for future increases in youth marijuana use and acceptance.
本分析将大麻合法化视为青少年对大麻接受度和使用率未来上升的一个风险因素。具体而言,我们考察了2010年加利福尼亚州通过大麻合法化立法前后几年中,该州8年级、10年级和12年级学生与美国其他州学生相比,与大麻相关的行为和态度。
数据来自“未来监测”,这是一项对8年级、10年级和12年级学生进行的年度全国代表性调查。
在2012年及之后,与其他州的同龄人相比,加利福尼亚州12年级学生(a)在过去30天内使用大麻的可能性高出25%,(b)认为经常使用大麻对健康有很大风险的可能性低20%,(c)强烈反对经常使用大麻的可能性低20%,以及(d)预计在未来五年内使用大麻的可能性高出约60%。对10年级学生的分析提出了一种可能性,即12年级学生的调查结果可能反映了两年前就已存在的队列效应。
这些结果提供了实证证据,支持了大麻合法化可能是青少年未来大麻使用和接受度上升的一个风险因素这一担忧。