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最小基础数据集在估算轮状病毒引起的医院获得性急性胃肠炎方面的有效性和可靠性。

Validity and reliability of the minimum basic data set in estimating nosocomial acute gastroenteritis caused by rotavirus.

作者信息

Redondo-González Olga

出版信息

Rev Esp Enferm Dig. 2015 Mar;107(3):152-61.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Rotavirus is the principal cause of nosocomial acute gastroenteritis (NAGE) under 5 years of age. The objectiveis to evaluate the validity and reliability of the minimum basic dataset (MBDS) in estimating the NAGE caused by rotavirus (NAGER) and to analyze any changes during the three years that the Rotarix® and Rotateq® vaccines were used in Spain.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A descriptive, retrospectivestudy was carried out in the University Hospital of Guadalajara(UHG) (Spain) between 2003-2009 using the MBDS, positive microbiological results for rotavirus (PMRs), and medical histories.Three methods of estimation were used: 1) An ICD-9-CM code 008.61 in the secondary diagnosis fields (DIAG2) of MBDS; 2) method 1 and/or PMRs with a current or recent hospitalization; and 3) the reference method or method 2 contrasted with patient medical histories. The validity of methods 1 and 2 was determined -sensitivity, specificity, predictive values and likelihood ratios (LRs)-, along with their agreement with method 3 (Kappa coefficient). In addition, the incidence rate ratio between the NAGER rate in 2007-2009 (commercialization period of both vaccines) was calculated with respect to 2003-2005 (precommercialization period).

RESULTS

Method 1 identified 65 records with a DIAG2 of 008.61. Method 2 found 62 probable cases, and the reference method, 49 true cases. The sensitivity of the MBDS was 67 %,the positive predictive value was 51 %, and both negative LR (LR-) and reliability were moderate (LR- 0.33, Kappa coefficient 0.58). During 2007-2009, the NARGE decreased by 5 cases per 103 hospitalizations and by 9 per 104 days of hospitalization. Method 2 overestimated both the decline in incidence by 2 per 103 hospitalizations and the decreased risk per day of stay by 10 %. The MBDS found no differences between the two three-year periods, but, like method 2, showed an excellent level of diagnostic evidence (LR+ 67).

CONCLUSION

The MBDS taken together with microbiological results, is more exact, safer and more reliable than the MBDS alone in estimating NAGER; and more useful in ruling out it. Nevertheless, the MBDS alone may be used to estimate and compare such disease in contexts with different prevalences.

摘要

引言

轮状病毒是5岁以下儿童医院获得性急性胃肠炎(NAGE)的主要病因。目的是评估最小基本数据集(MBDS)在估计轮状病毒引起的NAGE(NAGER)方面的有效性和可靠性,并分析在西班牙使用Rotarix®和Rotateq®疫苗的三年期间的任何变化。

材料与方法

2003年至2009年期间,在西班牙瓜达拉哈拉大学医院(UHG)进行了一项描述性回顾性研究,使用了MBDS、轮状病毒阳性微生物学结果(PMR)和病史。采用了三种估计方法:1)MBDS二级诊断字段(DIAG2)中的ICD-9-CM代码008.61;2)方法1和/或当前或近期住院的PMR;3)参考方法或方法2与患者病史进行对比。确定了方法1和方法2的有效性——敏感性、特异性、预测值和似然比(LRs)——以及它们与方法3的一致性(kappa系数)。此外,计算了2007 - 2009年(两种疫苗商业化时期)NAGER率相对于2003 - 2005年(商业化前时期)的发病率比值。

结果

方法1识别出65条DIAG2为008.61的记录。方法2发现62例可能病例,参考方法发现49例确诊病例。MBDS的敏感性为67%,阳性预测值为51%,阴性似然比(LR-)和可靠性均为中等(LR- 0.33,kappa系数0.58)。在2007 - 2009年期间,每103次住院中NARGE减少5例,每104天住院中减少9例。方法2高估了每103次住院中发病率的下降幅度2例,以及每天住院风险的下降幅度10%。MBDS在两个三年期之间未发现差异,但与方法2一样,显示出极好的诊断证据水平(LR+ 67)。

结论

与微生物学结果一起使用时,MBDS在估计NAGER方面比单独使用MBDS更准确、更安全、更可靠;在排除NAGER方面更有用。然而,单独使用MBDS可用于在不同患病率的情况下估计和比较此类疾病。

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