Significance of raised maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein in singleton pregnancies with normally formed fetuses.

One hundred eighty-six pregnancies with elevated maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) between 16 and 20 weeks' gestation, but with normally formed single fetuses, were analyzed retrospectively. In comparison with matched control subjects, there was an increased incidence of low birth weight, preterm delivery, intrauterine growth retardation, and other clinical complications, especially when maternal serum AFP was abnormally high on more than one occasion. These findings could not be explained by the occurrence of threatened abortion or the performance of amniocentesis. It is suggested that where maternal serum AFP screening for fetal neural tube defects is already established as a cost-effective routine procedure, the additional recognition of some pregnancies at very high risk of other, perinatal complications is of practical value. However, maternal serum AFP testing in the second trimester cannot be recommended as a cost-effective screening method for detecting low birth weight infants, having a sensitivity in this series of only 11%. Many (33%) of the low birth weight infants detected in this way were very small (birth weights less than 1.5 kg); 73% of the predicted preterm births were very premature (before 34 weeks of gestation), and 72% of the identified growth-retarded infants were severely effected (weighing less than the fifth percentile for gestational age).