Keighley Tom
Nursing Management Consultant, UK.
Nurs Leadersh (Tor Ont). 2014 Dec;27(4):12-22. doi: 10.12927/cjnl.2015.24144.
The origin of future-proofing seems lost in the mists of recent history. Dictionaries date its use from about 1991, referring to the prevention of obsolescence in information technology manufacturing and occasionally in organizational systems. However, closer analysis in healthcare demonstrates it can be traced back to the Rand Corporation and the studies commissioned there in the 1960s. These aimed at identifying the predictive factors in planning healthcare, including development of the workforce. It is a managerial concept that helps to project a vision of change that is not simply reactive or short-term. It permits a focus on leadership and the maximising of learning opportunities and includes analysis of the policy horizon. It held within it an assumption about the importance of establishing the cognitive frameworks that would influence long-term behaviours and not focus simply on short-term gains. This paper utilises this approach to explore options for future-proofing of nurse education.
“面向未来的保障”（future-proofing）的起源似乎已消失在近代历史的迷雾之中。词典将其使用追溯至1991年左右，指的是防止信息技术制造业以及偶尔在组织系统中出现过时现象。然而，对医疗保健领域的深入分析表明，它可以追溯到兰德公司以及20世纪60年代在那里委托开展的研究。这些研究旨在确定医疗保健规划中的预测因素，包括劳动力的发展。这是一个管理概念，有助于勾勒出不仅仅是被动反应或短期的变革愿景。它允许关注领导力以及学习机会的最大化，并包括对政策前景的分析。它包含了一个关于建立影响长期行为的认知框架的重要性的假设，而不是仅仅关注短期收益。本文运用这种方法来探索护士教育面向未来保障的选项。
