Khan Belal, Nowson Caryl A, Daly Robin M, English Dallas R, Hodge Allison M, Giles Graham G, Ebeling Peter R
NorthWest Academic Centre, The University of Melbourne, Western Health, St. Albans, Australia.
School of Exercise and Nutrition Sciences, Deakin University, Burwood, Australia.
J Bone Miner Res. 2015 Oct;30(10):1758-66. doi: 10.1002/jbmr.2515. Epub 2015 May 10.
The aim of this population-based, prospective cohort study was to investigate long-term associations between dietary calcium intake and fractures, non-fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD), and death from all causes. Participants were from the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study, which was established in 1990 to 1994. A total of 41,514 men and women (∼99% aged 40 to 69 years at baseline) were followed up for a mean (SD) of 12 (1.5) years. Primary outcome measures were time to death from all causes (n = 2855), CVD-related deaths (n = 557), cerebrovascular disease-related deaths (n = 139), incident non-fatal CVD (n = 1827), incident stroke events (n = 537), and incident fractures (n = 788). A total of 12,097 participants (aged ≥50 years) were eligible for fracture analysis and 34,468 for non-fatal CVD and mortality analyses. Mortality was ascertained by record linkage to registries. Fractures and CVD were ascertained from interview ∼13 years after baseline. Quartiles of baseline energy-adjusted calcium intake from food were estimated using a food-frequency questionnaire. Hazard ratios (HR) and odds ratios (OR) were calculated for quartiles of dietary calcium intake. Highest and lowest quartiles of energy-adjusted dietary calcium intakes represented unadjusted means (SD) of 1348 (316) mg/d and 473 (91) mg/d, respectively. Overall, there were 788 (10.3%) incident fractures, 1827 (9.0%) incident CVD, and 2855 people (8.6%) died. Comparing the highest with the lowest quartile of calcium intake, for all-cause mortality, the HR was 0.86 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.76-0.98, p(trend) = 0.01); for non-fatal CVD and stroke, the OR was 0.84 (95% CI 0.70-0.99, p(trend) = 0.04) and 0.69 (95% CI 0.51-0.93, p(trend) = 0.02), respectively; and the OR for fracture was 0.70 (95% CI 0.54-0.92, p(trend) = 0.004). In summary, for older men and women, calcium intakes of up to 1348 (316) mg/d from food were associated with decreased risks for fracture, non-fatal CVD, stroke, and all-cause mortality.
这项基于人群的前瞻性队列研究旨在调查膳食钙摄入量与骨折、非致命性心血管疾病(CVD)以及全因死亡之间的长期关联。参与者来自墨尔本协作队列研究,该研究于1990年至1994年设立。共有41514名男性和女性(基线时约99%年龄在40至69岁)接受了平均(标准差)12(1.5)年的随访。主要结局指标包括全因死亡时间(n = 2855)、CVD相关死亡(n = 557)、脑血管疾病相关死亡(n = 139)、新发非致命性CVD(n = 1827)、新发中风事件(n = 537)以及新发骨折(n = 788)。共有12097名参与者(年龄≥50岁)符合骨折分析条件,34468名符合非致命性CVD和死亡率分析条件。死亡率通过与登记处的记录链接确定。骨折和CVD通过基线后约13年的访谈确定。使用食物频率问卷估计食物中基线能量调整后的钙摄入量四分位数。计算膳食钙摄入量四分位数的风险比(HR)和比值比(OR)。能量调整后的膳食钙摄入量最高和最低四分位数分别代表未调整均值(标准差)1348(316)mg/d和473(91)mg/d。总体而言,有788例(10.3%)新发骨折、1827例(9.0%)新发CVD,2855人(8.6%)死亡。将钙摄入量最高四分位数与最低四分位数进行比较,对于全因死亡率,HR为0.86(95%置信区间[CI]0.76 - 0.98,p趋势 = 0.01);对于非致命性CVD和中风,OR分别为0.84(95%CI 0.70 - 0.99,p趋势 = 0.04)和0.69(95%CI 0.51 - 0.93,p趋势 = 0.02);骨折的OR为0.70(95%CI 0.54 - 0.92,p趋势 =