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血清降钙素原和高敏C反应蛋白水平与急性缺血性卒中的长期死亡率相关。

Serum levels of procalcitonin and high sensitivity C-reactive protein are associated with long-term mortality in acute ischemic stroke.

作者信息

Li You-Mei, Liu Xue-Yuan

机构信息

Department of Neurology, Yangpu Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 20090, China.

Department of Neurology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital of Tongji University, Shanghai 200072, China.

出版信息

J Neurol Sci. 2015 May 15;352(1-2):68-73. doi: 10.1016/j.jns.2015.03.032. Epub 2015 Mar 27.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to assess the prognostic value of systemic inflammation, as measured by the inflammatory biomarkers PCT and Hs-CRP, to predict the long-term mortality in ischemic stroke patients.

METHODS

We prospectively studied 374 patients with ischemic stroke who were admitted within 24h after the onset of symptoms. Serum levels of PCT, Hs-CRP and NIH stroke scale (NIHSS) were measured at the time of admission. Clinical follow-up was performed at 1 year. The prognostic value of PCT to predict the mortality within one year was compared with Hs-CRP, NIHSS and with other known outcome predictors.

RESULTS

In the 64 non-survival patients, serum PCT levels were significantly (P<0.0001) higher compared with those in survival patients. Multivariate COX regression analysis showed that log-transformed PCT and Hs-CRP were independent mortality predictors with adjusted hazard ratio of 4.24 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.42-6.30) and 15.37 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.25-41.08). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of PCT and Hs-CRP were 0.89 (95% CI, 0.85-0.93) and 0.68 (95% CI, 0.59-0.77) for mortality, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Serum levels of PCT and HS-CRP at admission were independent predictor of long-term mortality after ischemic stroke in a Chinese sample.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在评估炎症生物标志物降钙素原(PCT)和超敏C反应蛋白(Hs-CRP)所衡量的全身炎症对预测缺血性脑卒中患者长期死亡率的预后价值。

方法

我们前瞻性地研究了374例症状发作后24小时内入院的缺血性脑卒中患者。入院时测定血清PCT、Hs-CRP水平及美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分。进行为期1年的临床随访。将PCT预测1年内死亡率的预后价值与Hs-CRP、NIHSS以及其他已知的预后预测指标进行比较。

结果

在64例未存活患者中,血清PCT水平显著高于存活患者(P<0.0001)。多因素COX回归分析显示,经对数转换的PCT和Hs-CRP是独立的死亡率预测指标,校正后的风险比分别为4.24(95%置信区间[CI],2.42 - 6.30)和15.37(95%置信区间[CI],3.25 - 41.08)。PCT和Hs-CRP预测死亡率的受试者工作特征曲线下面积分别为0.89(95% CI,0.85 - 0.93)和0.68(95% CI,0.59 - 0.77)。

结论

在中国样本中,入院时血清PCT和Hs-CRP水平是缺血性脑卒中后长期死亡率的独立预测指标。

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