Department of Respiratory Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Birmingham, England.
Institute of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, England.
Chest. 2015 Oct;148(4):877-886. doi: 10.1378/chest.14-2413.
Consensus on how best to express bronchodilator reversibility (BDR) is lacking. We tested different BDR criteria against the null hypotheses that BDR should show no sex or size bias. To determine the best criterion for defining BDR, we hypothesized that clinically important BDR should be associated with better survival in respiratory patients compared with that of patients without BDR.
We used the first BDR test of 4,231 patients who had known subsequent survival status (50.8% male sex; mean age, 60.9 years; mean survival, 5.2 years [range, 0.1-16.5 years]). BDR for FEV1 was expressed as absolute change, % baseline change, and change as % predicted FEV1.
Having BDR defined from absolute change was biased toward men (male to female ratio, 2.70) and toward those with larger baseline FEV1. BDR defined by % change from baseline was biased toward those with lower baseline values. BDR defined by % predicted had no sex or size bias. Multivariate Cox regression found those with FEV1 BDR > 8% predicted (33% of the subjects) had an optimal survival advantage (hazard ratio, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.45-0.69) compared with those with FEV1 BDR ≤ 8% predicted. The survival of those with FEV1 BDR > 8% predicted was not significantly different from that of those with FEV1 BDR > 14% predicted but was significantly better than that of those with FEV1 BDR < 0.
We have shown that expressing FEV1 BDR as % predicted avoids sex and size bias. FEV1 BDR > 8% predicted showed optimal survival advantage and may be the most appropriate criterion to define clinically important reversibility.
对于如何最好地表达支气管扩张剂可逆性(BDR),目前尚无共识。我们测试了不同的 BDR 标准,以检验 BDR 不应存在性别或大小偏见的零假设。为了确定定义 BDR 的最佳标准,我们假设与没有 BDR 的患者相比,具有临床意义的 BDR 应该与呼吸患者的更好生存相关。
我们使用了已知后续生存状态的 4231 名患者的第一次 BDR 测试(50.8%为男性;平均年龄为 60.9 岁;平均生存时间为 5.2 年[范围为 0.1-16.5 年])。FEV1 的 BDR 表达为绝对值变化、%基线变化和变化作为预测 FEV1 的%。
以绝对值表示的 BDR 存在偏向男性(男女比例为 2.70)和基线 FEV1 较大的患者。以从基线变化的%表示的 BDR 偏向于基线值较低的患者。以预测%表示的 BDR 不存在性别或大小偏见。多变量 Cox 回归发现,FEV1 BDR > 8%预测(33%的受试者)与 FEV1 BDR ≤ 8%预测的患者相比具有最佳的生存优势(危险比为 0.56;95%CI 为 0.45-0.69)。FEV1 BDR > 8%预测的患者的生存与 FEV1 BDR > 14%预测的患者没有显著差异,但明显优于 FEV1 BDR < 0 的患者。
我们表明,以预测%表示 FEV1 BDR 可避免性别和大小偏见。FEV1 BDR > 8%预测显示出最佳的生存优势,可能是定义具有临床意义的可逆性的最合适标准。