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Global, regional, and national age-sex specific all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 240 causes of death, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.全球、地区和国家按年龄、性别划分的 240 种死因的全死因和特定死因死亡率,1990-2013 年:2013 年全球疾病负担研究的系统分析。
Lancet. 2015 Jan 10;385(9963):117-71. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61682-2. Epub 2014 Dec 18.
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Typhoid fever.伤寒热
Lancet. 2015 Mar 21;385(9973):1136-45. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62708-7. Epub 2014 Oct 21.
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Efficacy of a tetravalent dengue vaccine in children in Latin America.四价登革热疫苗在拉丁美洲儿童中的效力。
N Engl J Med. 2015 Jan 8;372(2):113-23. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1411037. Epub 2014 Nov 3.
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Burden of typhoid fever in low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic, literature-based update with risk-factor adjustment.中低收入国家伤寒负担:基于系统文献的更新,包括风险因素调整。
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Current status of rabies and prospects for elimination.狂犬病的现状和消除前景。
Lancet. 2014 Oct 11;384(9951):1389-99. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62707-5. Epub 2014 May 11.
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Case fatality rate and length of hospital stay among patients with typhoid intestinal perforation in developing countries: a systematic literature review.发展中国家伤寒肠穿孔患者的病死率和住院时间:一项系统文献综述
PLoS One. 2014 Apr 17;9(4):e93784. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0093784. eCollection 2014.
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Vaccine preventable disease incidence as a complement to vaccine efficacy for setting vaccine policy.疫苗可预防疾病发病率作为制定疫苗政策时疫苗效力的补充。
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Predicting the impact of vaccination on the transmission dynamics of typhoid in South Asia: a mathematical modeling study.预测疫苗接种对南亚伤寒传播动态的影响:一项数学建模研究。
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伤寒疫苗探索性研究的理由及设计要素概述。

The case for a typhoid vaccine probe study and overview of design elements.

作者信息

Gessner Bradford D, Halloran M Elizabeth, Khan Imran

机构信息

Agence de Médecine Preventive, 13 Chemin du Levant, 01210 Ferney-Voltaire, France.

Center for Inference and Dynamics of Infectious Diseases, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center and Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington School of Public Health, Seattle, WA, USA.

出版信息

Vaccine. 2015 Jun 19;33 Suppl 3(0 3):C30-5. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.03.085. Epub 2015 Apr 23.

DOI:10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.03.085
PMID:25912286
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4633310/
Abstract

Recent advances in typhoid vaccine, and consideration of support from Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, raise the possibility that some endemic countries will introduce typhoid vaccine into public immunization programs. This decision, however, is limited by lack of definitive information on disease burden. We propose use of a vaccine probe study approach. This approach would more clearly assess the total burden of typhoid across different syndromic groups and account for lack of access to care, poor diagnostics, incomplete laboratory testing, lack of mortality and intestinal perforation surveillance, and increasing antibiotic resistance. We propose a cluster randomized trial design using a mass immunization campaign among all age groups, with monitoring over a 4-year period of a variety of outcomes. The primary outcome would be the vaccine preventable disease incidence of prolonged fever hospitalization. Sample size calculations suggest that such a study would be feasible over a reasonable set of assumptions.

摘要

伤寒疫苗的最新进展,以及对来自疫苗免疫联盟(Gavi)支持的考量,增加了一些伤寒流行国家将伤寒疫苗引入公共免疫规划的可能性。然而,这一决定受到疾病负担方面缺乏确切信息的限制。我们建议采用疫苗探索性研究方法。这种方法将更清楚地评估不同症状组中伤寒的总体负担,并考虑到难以获得医疗服务、诊断不佳、实验室检测不完整、缺乏死亡率和肠穿孔监测以及抗生素耐药性增加等因素。我们建议采用整群随机试验设计,在所有年龄组中开展大规模免疫运动,并在4年期间监测各种结果。主要结果将是疫苗可预防的长期发热住院疾病发病率。样本量计算表明,在合理的假设条件下,这样一项研究是可行的。