Weaver Emily H, Gibbons Luz, Belizán José M, Althabe Fernando
Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina School at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Department of Mother and Child Health Research, Institute for Clinical Effectiveness and Health Policy, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 2015 Aug;130(2):137-41. doi: 10.1016/j.ijgo.2015.02.026. Epub 2015 Apr 20.
To identify factors associated with the increasing incidence of preterm birth in northern Argentina.
In an observational study, data were reviewed from a prospective, population-based registry of pregnancy outcomes in six cities in 2009-2012. The primary outcome was preterm birth (at 20-37 weeks). Bivariate tests and generalized estimating equations were used within a conceptual hierarchical framework to estimate the cluster-corrected annual trend in odds of preterm birth.
The study reviewed data from 11 433 live births. There were 484 (4.2%) preterm births. The incidence of preterm births increased by 38% between 2009 and 2012, from 37.5 to 51.7 per 1000 live births. Unadjusted risk factors for preterm birth included young or advanced maternal age, normal body mass index, nulliparity, no prenatal care, no vitamins or supplements during pregnancy, multiple gestation, and maternal hypertension or prepartum hemorrhage. The prevalence of many risk factors increased over the study period, but variations in these factors explained less than 1% of the increasing trend in preterm birth.
The incidence of preterm births in six small cities in northern Argentina increased greatly between 2009 and 2012. This trend was unexplained by the risk factors measured. Other factors should be assessed in future studies.
确定与阿根廷北部早产发生率上升相关的因素。
在一项观察性研究中,回顾了2009 - 2012年六个城市基于人群的前瞻性妊娠结局登记处的数据。主要结局为早产(20 - 37周)。在一个概念性分层框架内使用双变量检验和广义估计方程来估计早产几率的聚类校正年度趋势。
该研究回顾了11433例活产的数据。有484例(4.2%)早产。2009年至2012年间,早产发生率增加了38%,从每1000例活产37.5例增至51.7例。早产的未调整风险因素包括年轻或高龄产妇、正常体重指数、未生育、未进行产前检查、孕期未服用维生素或补充剂、多胎妊娠以及孕妇高血压或产前出血。在研究期间,许多风险因素的患病率有所增加,但这些因素的变化对早产增加趋势的解释不足1%。
2009年至2012年间,阿根廷北部六个小城市的早产发生率大幅上升。这一趋势无法用所测量的风险因素来解释。未来研究应评估其他因素。