Wu Hung-Chieh, Wang Wei-Jie, Chen Yu-Wei, Chen Han-Hsiang
a Department of Nursing , Chang Gung University of Science and Technology , Taoyuan , Taiwan .
b Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine , Taoyuan General Hospital, Ministry of Health and Welfare , Taoyuan , Taiwan .
Ren Fail. 2015 Jul;37(6):985-93. doi: 10.3109/0886022X.2015.1044755. Epub 2015 May 18.
The severity of acute kidney injury (AKI) has been a well-known predictor for in-hospital mortality. Whether AKI duration could predict in-hospital mortality is not clear. This study determines the association between the in-hospital mortality and AKI duration in patients after non-cardiac surgery.
Surgical patients who were admitted to the ICU were enrolled. AKI cases were defined using KDIGO guidelines and categorized according to the tertiles of AKI duration (1st tertile: 2 days, 2nd tertile: 3-6 days and 3rd tertile: 7 days). The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for in-hospital mortality are compared to those without AKI. The predictability of mortality is accessed by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
From a total of 318 postoperative patients, 98 developed AKI (1st tertile: 34 cases, 2nd tertile: 30 cases and 3rd tertile: 34 cases) and 220 had no AKI. The in-hospital mortality rates are 6.8% (non-AKI), 50% (1st tertile), 46.7% (2nd tertile) and 47% (3rd tertile). The HR's for in-hospital mortality are 7.92, 6.68 and 1.68, compared to the non-AKI group (p = 0.006, 0.021 and 0.476). Cumulative in-hospital survival rates are significantly different for the non-AKI group and the AKI groups (p < 0.001). The AUC for AKI duration and stage together (0.804) is higher than that for AKI stage and AKI duration alone (0.803 and 0.777) (both ps < 0.001).
In addition to severity, the duration of AKI may be a predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients, after non-cardiac surgery.
急性肾损伤(AKI)的严重程度一直是院内死亡率的一个众所周知的预测指标。AKI持续时间是否能够预测院内死亡率尚不清楚。本研究确定非心脏手术后患者的院内死亡率与AKI持续时间之间的关联。
纳入入住重症监护病房(ICU)的手术患者。根据KDIGO指南定义AKI病例,并根据AKI持续时间的三分位数进行分类(第一三分位数:2天,第二三分位数:3 - 6天,第三三分位数:7天)。将院内死亡率的校正风险比(HRs)与无AKI的患者进行比较。通过计算受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线的曲线下面积(AUC)来评估死亡率的预测能力。
在总共318例术后患者中,98例发生AKI(第一三分位数:34例,第二三分位数:30例,第三三分位数:34例),220例无AKI。院内死亡率分别为6.8%(无AKI)、50%(第一三分位数)、46.7%(第二三分位数)和47%(第三三分位数)。与无AKI组相比,院内死亡率的HR分别为7.92、6.68和1.68(p = 0.006、0.021和0.476)。无AKI组与AKI组的累积院内生存率有显著差异(p < 0.001)。AKI持续时间和分期共同的AUC(0.804)高于单独的AKI分期和AKI持续时间的AUC(0.803和0.777)(p值均< 0.001)。
除严重程度外,AKI持续时间可能是非心脏手术后患者院内死亡率的一个预测指标。