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非心脏手术后危重症患者术后急性肾损伤持续时间与院内死亡率的关联:一项观察性队列研究

The association between the duration of postoperative acute kidney injury and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients after non-cardiac surgery: an observational cohort study.

作者信息

Wu Hung-Chieh, Wang Wei-Jie, Chen Yu-Wei, Chen Han-Hsiang

机构信息

a Department of Nursing , Chang Gung University of Science and Technology , Taoyuan , Taiwan .

b Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine , Taoyuan General Hospital, Ministry of Health and Welfare , Taoyuan , Taiwan .

出版信息

Ren Fail. 2015 Jul;37(6):985-93. doi: 10.3109/0886022X.2015.1044755. Epub 2015 May 18.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

The severity of acute kidney injury (AKI) has been a well-known predictor for in-hospital mortality. Whether AKI duration could predict in-hospital mortality is not clear. This study determines the association between the in-hospital mortality and AKI duration in patients after non-cardiac surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Surgical patients who were admitted to the ICU were enrolled. AKI cases were defined using KDIGO guidelines and categorized according to the tertiles of AKI duration (1st tertile: 2 days, 2nd tertile: 3-6 days and 3rd tertile: 7 days). The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for in-hospital mortality are compared to those without AKI. The predictability of mortality is accessed by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

From a total of 318 postoperative patients, 98 developed AKI (1st tertile: 34 cases, 2nd tertile: 30 cases and 3rd tertile: 34 cases) and 220 had no AKI. The in-hospital mortality rates are 6.8% (non-AKI), 50% (1st tertile), 46.7% (2nd tertile) and 47% (3rd tertile). The HR's for in-hospital mortality are 7.92, 6.68 and 1.68, compared to the non-AKI group (p = 0.006, 0.021 and 0.476). Cumulative in-hospital survival rates are significantly different for the non-AKI group and the AKI groups (p < 0.001). The AUC for AKI duration and stage together (0.804) is higher than that for AKI stage and AKI duration alone (0.803 and 0.777) (both ps < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In addition to severity, the duration of AKI may be a predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients, after non-cardiac surgery.

摘要

目的

急性肾损伤(AKI)的严重程度一直是院内死亡率的一个众所周知的预测指标。AKI持续时间是否能够预测院内死亡率尚不清楚。本研究确定非心脏手术后患者的院内死亡率与AKI持续时间之间的关联。

材料与方法

纳入入住重症监护病房(ICU)的手术患者。根据KDIGO指南定义AKI病例,并根据AKI持续时间的三分位数进行分类(第一三分位数:2天,第二三分位数:3 - 6天,第三三分位数:7天)。将院内死亡率的校正风险比(HRs)与无AKI的患者进行比较。通过计算受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线的曲线下面积(AUC)来评估死亡率的预测能力。

结果

在总共318例术后患者中,98例发生AKI(第一三分位数:34例,第二三分位数:30例,第三三分位数:34例),220例无AKI。院内死亡率分别为6.8%(无AKI)、50%(第一三分位数)、46.7%(第二三分位数)和47%(第三三分位数)。与无AKI组相比,院内死亡率的HR分别为7.92、6.68和1.68(p = 0.006、0.021和0.476)。无AKI组与AKI组的累积院内生存率有显著差异(p < 0.001)。AKI持续时间和分期共同的AUC(0.804)高于单独的AKI分期和AKI持续时间的AUC(0.803和0.777)(p值均< 0.001)。

结论

除严重程度外,AKI持续时间可能是非心脏手术后患者院内死亡率的一个预测指标。

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