Vergara Ximena P, Kavet Robert, Crespi Catherine M, Hooper Chris, Silva J Michael, Kheifets Leeka
Electric Power Research Institute, Environment Sector, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
Electric Power Research Institute, Environment Sector, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
Environ Res. 2015 Jul;140:514-23. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2015.04.020. Epub 2015 May 22.
The California Power Line Study is a case-control study investigating the relation between residences near transmission lines and risk of childhood leukemia. It includes 5788 childhood leukemia cases and 5788 matched primary controls born between 1986 and 2007. We describe the methodology for estimating magnetic fields at study residences as well as for characterizing sources of uncertainty in these estimates. Birth residences of study subjects were geocoded and their distances to transmission lines were ascertained. 302 residences were deemed sufficiently close to transmission lines to have non-zero magnetic fields attributable to the lines. These residences were visited and detailed data, describing the physical configuration and dimensions of the lines contributing to the magnetic field at the residence, were collected. Phasing, loading, and directional load flow data for years of birth and diagnosis for each subject as well as for the day of site visit were obtained from utilities when available; when yearly average load for a particular year was not available, extrapolated values based on expert knowledge and prediction models were obtained. These data were used to estimate the magnetic fields at the center, closest and farthest point of each residence. We found good correlation between calculated fields and spot measurements of fields taken on site during visits. Our modeling strategies yielded similar calculated field estimates, and they were in high agreement with utility extrapolations. Phasing was known for over 90% of the lines. Important sources of uncertainty included a lack of information on the precise location of residences located within apartment buildings or other complexes. Our findings suggest that we were able to achieve high specificity in exposure assessment, which is essential for examining the association between distance to or magnetic fields from power lines and childhood leukemia risk.
加利福尼亚输电线研究是一项病例对照研究,旨在调查居住在输电线附近与儿童白血病风险之间的关系。该研究纳入了5788例儿童白血病病例以及5788名相匹配的主要对照,这些对照出生于1986年至2007年之间。我们描述了估算研究居住点磁场的方法,以及确定这些估算中不确定性来源的方法。对研究对象的出生居住点进行了地理编码,并确定了其与输电线的距离。302个居住点被认为距离输电线足够近,因而具有由输电线产生的非零磁场。对这些居住点进行了走访,并收集了详细数据,描述了对居住点磁场有贡献的线路的物理配置和尺寸。如有可能,从公用事业公司获取每个研究对象出生年份、诊断年份以及现场走访当天的相位、负荷和定向潮流数据;当某一特定年份的年平均负荷数据不可用时,则根据专家知识和预测模型获取外推值。这些数据用于估算每个居住点中心、最近点和最远点的磁场。我们发现计算出的磁场与走访期间在现场进行的磁场实地测量结果之间具有良好的相关性。我们的建模策略得出了相似的计算磁场估算值,并且与公用事业公司的外推值高度一致。90%以上的线路相位是已知的。不确定性的重要来源包括缺乏关于位于公寓楼或其他建筑群内居住点精确位置的信息。我们的研究结果表明,我们能够在暴露评估中实现高特异性,这对于研究与输电线的距离或输电线磁场与儿童白血病风险之间的关联至关重要。