Tian Lingyun, Fang Zhengqing, Xiao Hongling, Li Li, Li Yinglan
Department of Nursing, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410008; School of Nursing, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei 230038, China.
Zhong Nan Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban. 2015 May;40(5):549-57. doi: 10.11817/j.issn.1672-7347.2015.05.016.
To evaluate the predictive accuracy of the triage early warning score (TEWS) in the prognosis and emergency treatment for trauma patients admitted to the emergency department (ED).
A total of 456 trauma patients (>12 years old) admitted to ED at an education and research hospital in approximately 4 months were prospectively studied. Th e TEWS was recorded in all patients. Th e primary end-point was during 28 days and the emergency responses (such as cardiopulmonary resuscitation/electrical defibrillation, mechanical ventilation) in the ED.
Patients with TEWS less than or equal to 9, from 10 to 13, or greater or equal to 14 had mortality rates of 0.98%, 52.63%, or 80%, respectively. An increase in 1 point within the range of 17-point TEWS would be associated with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.14 for death [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.759 to 2.604]. In predicting mortality rates during 28 days, the cut-point was greater than 8, the sensitivity was 87.10% (95% CI: 70.2% to 96.4%), the specificity was 92.47% (95% CI: 89.5% to 94.8%), and the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCROC) was 0.929 (95% CI: 0.902 to 0.951). Th e AUCROC of TEWS in predicting the emergency responses for CPR/electrical defibrillation application or mechanical ventilation was 0.969 (95% CI: 0.949 to 0.983) or 0.897 (95% CI: 0.865 to 0.923), respectively.
TEWS is effective in predicting the prognosis and emergency treatment for trauma patients admitted to ED.
评估分诊早期预警评分(TEWS)对急诊科收治的创伤患者预后及急诊治疗的预测准确性。
对一家教学研究医院急诊科在约4个月内收治的456例年龄大于12岁的创伤患者进行前瞻性研究。记录所有患者的TEWS。主要终点为28天内情况及急诊科的急救反应(如心肺复苏/电除颤、机械通气)。
TEWS小于或等于9分、10至13分、大于或等于14分的患者死亡率分别为0.98%、52.63%、80%。在17分的TEWS范围内每增加1分,死亡的比值比(OR)为2.14 [95%置信区间(CI):1.759至2.604]。在预测28天内死亡率时,切点大于8分,敏感性为87.10%(95% CI:70.2%至96.4%),特异性为92.47%(95% CI:89.5%至94.8%),受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUCROC)为0.929(95% CI:0.902至0.951)。TEWS预测心肺复苏/电除颤应用或机械通气的急救反应的AUCROC分别为0.969(95% CI:0.949至0.983)或0.897(95% CI:0.865至0.923)。
TEWS对急诊科收治的创伤患者的预后及急诊治疗具有预测作用。