Mattin M J, Boswood A, Church D B, McGreevy P D, O'Neill D G, Thomson P C, Brodbelt D C
Royal Veterinary College, Hawkshead Lane, North Mymms, Herts AL9 7TA UK.
Royal Veterinary College, Hawkshead Lane, North Mymms, Herts AL9 7TA UK.
Prev Vet Med. 2015 Dec 1;122(4):436-42. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2015.05.007. Epub 2015 May 30.
This study aimed to evaluate survival of dogs with degenerative mitral valve disease (DMVD). A retrospective cohort study of dogs with DMVD attending primary-care practices in England was undertaken. Cases of DMVD were identified within the electronic patient records (EPRs) of practices sharing data with VetCompass. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to explore survival and Cox regression models identified factors associated with hazard of death. The EPRs from 111,967 dogs, attending 93 veterinary practices between January 2010 and December 2011 identified 405 cases diagnosed with DMVD giving a prevalence of diagnosed DMVD of 0.36% (95% CI: 0.29-0.45%). A further 3557 dogs were classified as possible cases (heart murmurs consistent with DMVD). Overall, a total of 3962 dogs were classified as heart murmur cases (possible and diagnosed DMVD), giving a prevalence of 3.54% (95% CI: 3.26-3.84%). One hundred and sixteen (28.6%) of the diagnosed DMVD cases were incident, newly diagnosed with DMVD. The mean age at diagnosis was 9.52 years (95% CI: 8.98-10.14 years). Fifty-eight (50.0%) of the incident cases died during the study period. The median survival time (MST) for all-cause mortality was 25.4 months (95% CI: 20.4-34.4 months) after disease detection for DMVD cases. For possible cases, 121 (29.7%) from a random sample of 407 possible DMVD cases were incident cases (newly detected heart murmur consistent with DMVD during the study period). The mean age at which a heart murmur was first recorded in possible cases was 9.73 years (95% CI: 9.02-10.44 years). Forty-nine (40.5%) possible cases died during the study period. The MST for all-cause mortality was 33.8 months (95% CI: 23.7-43.1 months) after a heart murmur was initially detected. In the multivariable survival analysis for possible and diagnosed cases, Cavalier King Charles Spaniels (CKCSs) and other purebreds had higher hazards of death than crossbreds. Dogs weighing ≥20.0kg and older dogs had an increased hazard of death compared with those <20.0kg and younger dogs, respectively. The study highlights poorer survival for all-cause mortality in CKCSs and larger dogs. The reported survival characteristics could aid veterinary surgeons' advice on the prognosis for dogs with DMVD and help the assessment of the impact of the condition at a population level.
本研究旨在评估患有退行性二尖瓣疾病(DMVD)的犬只的存活率。对在英格兰基层医疗诊所就诊的患有DMVD的犬只进行了一项回顾性队列研究。在与VetCompass共享数据的诊所的电子病历(EPRs)中识别出DMVD病例。使用Kaplan-Meier曲线探索存活率,并通过Cox回归模型确定与死亡风险相关的因素。2010年1月至2011年12月期间,来自93家兽医诊所的111,967只犬的EPRs识别出405例被诊断为DMVD的病例,确诊DMVD的患病率为0.36%(95%CI:0.29 - 0.45%)。另外3557只犬被归类为可能病例(心脏杂音与DMVD一致)。总体而言,共有3962只犬被归类为心脏杂音病例(可能和确诊的DMVD),患病率为3.54%(95%CI:3.26 - 3.84%)。116例(28.6%)确诊的DMVD病例为新发,即新诊断出患有DMVD。诊断时的平均年龄为9.52岁(95%CI:8.98 - 10.14岁)。在研究期间,58例(50.0%)新发病例死亡。DMVD病例在疾病检测后全因死亡率的中位生存时间(MST)为25.4个月(95%CI:20.4 - 34.4个月)。对于可能病例,从407例可能的DMVD病例的随机样本中,有121例(29.7%)为新发病例(在研究期间新检测到与DMVD一致的心脏杂音)。在可能病例中首次记录到心脏杂音的平均年龄为9.73岁(95%CI:9.02 - 10.44岁)。在研究期间,49例(40.5%)可能病例死亡。在最初检测到心脏杂音后全因死亡率的MST为33.8个月(95%CI:23.7 - 43.1个月)。在对可能病例和确诊病例的多变量生存分析中,骑士查理王小猎犬(CKCSs)和其他纯种犬的死亡风险高于杂种犬。体重≥20.0kg 的犬和年龄较大的犬与体重<20.0kg 的犬和年龄较小的犬相比,死亡风险增加。该研究突出了CKCSs和体型较大的犬全因死亡率的较差存活率。所报告的生存特征可为兽医就患有DMVD的犬的预后提供建议,并有助于在群体水平上评估该疾病的影响。