Spear R C, Selvin S
School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley 94720.
Risk Anal. 1989 Dec;9(4):579-86. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1989.tb01268.x.
Workplace exposures to airborne chemicals are regulated in the U.S. by the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) via the promulgation of permissible exposure limits (PELs). These limits, usually defined as eight-hour time-weighted average values, are enforced as concentrations never to be exceeded. In the case of chronic or delayed toxicants, the PEL is determined from epidemiological evidence and/or quantitative risk assessments based on long-term mean exposures or, equivalently, cumulative lifetime exposures. A statistical model was used to investigate the relation between the compliance strategy, the PEL as a limit never to be exceeded, and the health risk as measured by the probability that an individual's long-term mean exposure concentration is above the PEL. The model incorporates within-worker and between-worker variability in exposure, and assumes the relevant distributions to be log-normal. When data are inadequate to estimate the parameters of the full model, as it is in compliance inspections, it is argued that the probability of a random measurement being above the PEL must be regarded as a lower bound on the probability that a randomly selected worker's long-term mean exposure concentration will exceed the PEL. It is concluded that OSHA's compliance strategy is a reasonable, as well as a practical, means of limiting health risk for chronic or delayed toxicants.
在美国,职业安全与健康管理局(OSHA)通过颁布允许接触限值(PELs)对工作场所空气中化学物质的接触进行监管。这些限值通常定义为八小时时间加权平均值,作为绝对不得超过的浓度予以强制执行。对于慢性或迟发性毒物,PEL是根据流行病学证据和/或基于长期平均接触量或等效的终生累积接触量的定量风险评估来确定的。使用一个统计模型来研究合规策略、作为绝对不得超过限值的PEL以及以个体长期平均接触浓度高于PEL的概率衡量的健康风险之间的关系。该模型纳入了工人内部和工人之间接触的变异性,并假设相关分布为对数正态分布。当数据不足以估计完整模型的参数时,就像在合规检查中那样,有人认为随机测量值高于PEL的概率必须被视为随机选择的工人长期平均接触浓度超过PEL的概率的下限。得出的结论是,OSHA的合规策略是限制慢性或迟发性毒物健康风险的一种合理且实用的手段。