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切断合法酒精消费与机动车事故之间的联系:来自新南威尔士州的证据

Breaking The Link Between Legal Access To Alcohol And Motor Vehicle Accidents: Evidence From New South Wales.

作者信息

Lindo Jason M, Siminski Peter, Yerokhin Oleg

机构信息

Department of Economics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA.

School of Accounting, Economics and Finance, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia.

出版信息

Health Econ. 2016 Jul;25(7):908-28. doi: 10.1002/hec.3197. Epub 2015 Jun 15.

Abstract

A large literature has documented significant public health benefits associated with the minimum legal drinking age in the USA, particularly because of the resulting effects on motor vehicle accidents. These benefits form the primary basis for continued efforts to restrict youth access to alcohol. It is important to keep in mind that policymakers have a wide variety of alcohol-control options available to them, and understanding how these policies may complement or substitute for one another can improve policy making moving forward. Towards this end, we propose that investigating the causal effects of the minimum legal drinking age in New South Wales, Australia, provides a particularly informative case study, because Australian states are among the world leaders in their efforts against drunk driving. Using an age-based regression discontinuity design applied to restricted-use data from several sources, we find no evidence that legal access to alcohol has effects on motor vehicle accidents of any type in New South Wales, despite having large effects on drinking and on hospitalizations due to alcohol abuse. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

摘要

大量文献记录了美国法定最低饮酒年龄所带来的显著公共卫生益处,尤其是其对机动车事故产生的影响。这些益处构成了持续努力限制年轻人获取酒精的主要依据。重要的是要记住,政策制定者有多种酒精控制选项可供选择,了解这些政策如何相互补充或替代有助于改进未来的政策制定。为此,我们提议,对澳大利亚新南威尔士州法定最低饮酒年龄的因果效应进行调查,能提供一个特别有参考价值的案例研究,因为澳大利亚各州在打击酒后驾车方面处于世界领先地位。运用基于年龄的回归间断设计,应用于来自多个来源的受限使用数据,我们发现没有证据表明在新南威尔士州合法获取酒精会对任何类型的机动车事故产生影响,尽管其对饮酒以及因酒精滥用导致的住院治疗有很大影响。版权所有© 2015 约翰·威利父子有限公司。

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