Virlogeux Victor, Fang Vicky J, Wu Joseph T, Ho Lai-Ming, Peiris J S Malik, Leung Gabriel M, Cowling Benjamin J
From the aDepartment of Biology, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Lyon, Lyon, France; bWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, and cCentre of Influenza Research, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
Epidemiology. 2015 Sep;26(5):666-9. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000339.
Few previous studies have investigated the association between the severity of an infectious disease and the length of incubation period.
We estimated the association between the length of the incubation period and the severity of infection with the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus, using data from the epidemic in 2003 in Hong Kong.
We estimated the incubation period of severe acute respiratory syndrome based on a subset of patients with available data on exposure periods and a separate subset of patients in a putative common source outbreak, and we found associations between shorter incubation period and greater severity in both groups after adjusting for potential confounders.
Our findings suggest that patients with a shorter incubation period went on to have more severe disease. Further studies are needed to investigate potential biological mechanisms for this association.
以往很少有研究调查传染病严重程度与潜伏期长短之间的关联。
我们利用2003年香港疫情的数据,估算了严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒感染的潜伏期长短与感染严重程度之间的关联。
我们基于有暴露期可用数据的部分患者以及假定共同来源疫情中的另一部分患者,估算了严重急性呼吸综合征的潜伏期,并且在对潜在混杂因素进行校正后,我们在两组中均发现潜伏期较短与病情更严重之间存在关联。
我们的研究结果表明,潜伏期较短的患者病情会更严重。需要进一步开展研究以调查这种关联的潜在生物学机制。