Desert Research Institute, Nevada System of Higher Education, Reno, Nevada 89512, USA.
Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195, USA.
Nature. 2015 Jul 30;523(7562):543-9. doi: 10.1038/nature14565. Epub 2015 Jul 8.
Volcanic eruptions contribute to climate variability, but quantifying these contributions has been limited by inconsistencies in the timing of atmospheric volcanic aerosol loading determined from ice cores and subsequent cooling from climate proxies such as tree rings. Here we resolve these inconsistencies and show that large eruptions in the tropics and high latitudes were primary drivers of interannual-to-decadal temperature variability in the Northern Hemisphere during the past 2,500 years. Our results are based on new records of atmospheric aerosol loading developed from high-resolution, multi-parameter measurements from an array of Greenland and Antarctic ice cores as well as distinctive age markers to constrain chronologies. Overall, cooling was proportional to the magnitude of volcanic forcing and persisted for up to ten years after some of the largest eruptive episodes. Our revised timescale more firmly implicates volcanic eruptions as catalysts in the major sixth-century pandemics, famines, and socioeconomic disruptions in Eurasia and Mesoamerica while allowing multi-millennium quantification of climate response to volcanic forcing.
火山喷发导致气候多变,但由于从冰芯中确定的大气火山气溶胶负荷的时间以及气候代用指标(如树木年轮)的后续降温之间存在不一致性,因此很难对这些贡献进行量化。在这里,我们解决了这些不一致性,并表明在过去 2500 年中,热带和高纬度地区的大规模喷发是北半球年际到十年际温度变化的主要驱动因素。我们的研究结果基于从格陵兰和南极冰芯的一系列高分辨率、多参数测量以及独特的年龄标记中得出的大气气溶胶负荷的新记录,这些记录可用于约束年代。总体而言,冷却与火山活动的强度成正比,并且在一些最大的喷发事件之后,这种冷却持续了长达十年。我们的修订时间尺度更明确地将火山喷发视为欧亚大陆和中美洲六世纪大流行、饥荒和社会经济动荡的催化剂,同时还可以对气候对火山活动的响应进行千年级别的量化。