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青少年的多种物质使用模式——一项多层次潜在类别分析。

Multiple substance use patterns in adolescents-A multilevel latent class analysis.

作者信息

Tomczyk Samuel, Hanewinkel Reiner, Isensee Barbara

机构信息

Institute for Therapy and Health Research (IFT-Nord), Harmsstraße 2, Kiel 24114, Germany.

Institute for Therapy and Health Research (IFT-Nord), Harmsstraße 2, Kiel 24114, Germany.

出版信息

Drug Alcohol Depend. 2015 Oct 1;155:208-14. doi: 10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2015.07.016. Epub 2015 Jul 23.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Multiple substance use among adolescents is associated with a number of negative consequences. Therefore, we aim to investigate multiple substance use patterns among young adolescents and identify possible multilevel predictors.

METHODS

We analyzed a longitudinal sample of 2490 German students (51% male; Mage=13.32, SD=0.57) at 45 schools in four German states (Bremen, Hesse, North Rhine-Westphalia, Schleswig-Holstein), who completed two assessments in fall, 2010 and fall, 2013. We conducted multilevel latent class analysis for follow-up data on a variety of outcomes, and tested our final 3-class-model for possible baseline predictors. Follow-up substance use measures included lifetime use, current use, and amount of substance for cigarettes and alcohol. Baseline covariates comprised age, gender, socio-economic status, bullying, victimization, peer and parental use, type of school, and health certification of school.

RESULTS

We identified three latent classes: non-users (n=1541; 61.9%), experimenters (n=722; 29.0%), and multiusers (n=227; 9.1%). Experimental consumption was predicted by higher baseline age (OR=1.71; 1.31-2.24), paternal drinking (OR=2.89; 1.23-6.79), and school type (OR=2.57; 1.83-3.61), while multiuse was predicted by peer smoking (OR=2.94; 1.80-4.80) and drinking (OR=2.13; 1.32-3.44), maternal drinking (OR=6.26; 2.02-19.43), bullying (OR=1.69; 1.15-2.48), higher age (OR=1.92; 1.40-2.62), and school type (OR=4.76; 2.75-8.24) compared to the non-users class.

CONCLUSIONS

Prevention and further research on multiple substance use need to concentrate on social influence models and behavior-related interventions, especially at schools without a college-preparatory track.

摘要

背景

青少年多种物质使用与许多负面后果相关。因此,我们旨在调查青少年多种物质使用模式并确定可能的多层次预测因素。

方法

我们分析了来自德国四个州(不来梅、黑森州、北莱茵 - 威斯特法伦州、石勒苏益格 - 荷尔斯泰因州)45所学校的2490名德国学生的纵向样本(51%为男性;平均年龄Mage = 13.32,标准差SD = 0.57),他们在2010年秋季和2013年秋季完成了两次评估。我们对各种结果的随访数据进行了多层次潜在类别分析,并针对可能的基线预测因素测试了最终的三类别模型。随访物质使用测量包括终生使用、当前使用以及香烟和酒精的使用量。基线协变量包括年龄、性别、社会经济地位、欺凌、受欺负情况、同伴和父母的使用情况、学校类型以及学校的健康认证。

结果

我们确定了三个潜在类别:不使用者(n = 1541;61.9%)、尝试使用者(n = 722;29.0%)和多物质使用者(n = 227;9.1%)。较高的基线年龄(比值比OR = 1.71;1.31 - 2.24)、父亲饮酒(OR = 2.89;1.23 - 6.79)和学校类型(OR = 2.57;1.83 - 3.61)可预测尝试性消费,而与不使用者类别相比,同伴吸烟(OR = 2.94;1.80 - 4.80)和饮酒(OR = 2.13;1.32 - 3.44)、母亲饮酒(OR = 6.26;2.02 - 19.43)、欺凌(OR = 1.69;1.15 - 2.48)、较高年龄(OR = 1.92;1.40 - 2.62)和学校类型(OR = 4.76;2.75 - 8.24)可预测多物质使用。

结论

对多种物质使用的预防和进一步研究需要集中在社会影响模型和与行为相关的干预措施上,特别是在没有大学预科课程的学校。

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