Socorro García Alberto, de la Puente María, Perdomo Beatriz, López Pardo Patricia, Baztán Juan J
Department of Geriatrics, Hospital Central de la Cruz Roja, San José y Santa Adela, Madrid, Spain.
Department of Geriatrics, Hospital Central de la Cruz Roja, San José y Santa Adela, Madrid, Spain.
Eur J Intern Med. 2015 Nov;26(9):705-8. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2015.08.007. Epub 2015 Aug 28.
To analyze risk factors associated with short and long-term mortality in nonagenarians hospitalized due to acute medical conditions.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective study of all patients aged 90 years or older admitted in a geriatric unit during 2009 due to medical acute illness. Baseline variables were collected at admission (sex, cause of admission, Charlson index, serum albumin, functional, and mental status), functional loss at admission (as the difference between Barthel index(BI) 2 weeks before admission and BI at admission), and functional loss at discharge(as the difference between BI 2 weeks before admission and BI at discharge). The association of these variables with mortality at 1 month and 1 year after admission was analyzed by multivariate Cox regression analysis.
Out of all patients admitted, 434 (33%) were 90 years old or older and 76.3% were female. Mortality at 1 month and 1 year after admission was 19% and 57%, respectively. In the month mortality multivariate analysis, being older (HR, 1.11; 95% CI=1.02 to 1.20), a previous Barthel index less than 40 points (HR, 5.87; 95% CI=1.16 to 29.67), and functional loss at admission (HR; 1.13; 95% CI=1.03 to 1.25) were independent risk factors. When patients that died 1 month after admission were excluded, the presence of hypoalbuminemia <3g/dl (HR, 2.70; 95% CI=1.69 to 4.32) and functional loss at discharge (HR-1.08, 95% CI=1.03 to 1.14) were the factors associated with 1 year mortality.
In nonagenarians, functional impairment is the most important risk factor associated with short and long-term mortality after hospitalization due to acute medical illness.
分析因急性疾病住院的九旬老人短期和长期死亡的相关危险因素。
设计、地点和参与者:对2009年因急性内科疾病入住老年病房的所有90岁及以上患者进行前瞻性研究。在入院时收集基线变量(性别、入院原因、查尔森指数、血清白蛋白、功能和精神状态)、入院时的功能丧失(作为入院前2周巴氏指数(BI)与入院时BI的差值)以及出院时的功能丧失(作为入院前2周BI与出院时BI的差值)。通过多变量Cox回归分析这些变量与入院后1个月和1年死亡率的关联。
在所有入院患者中,434例(33%)年龄在90岁及以上,76.3%为女性。入院后1个月和1年的死亡率分别为19%和57%。在1个月死亡率的多变量分析中,年龄较大(风险比[HR],1.11;95%置信区间[CI]=1.02至1.20)、既往巴氏指数低于40分(HR,5.87;95%CI=1.16至29.67)以及入院时的功能丧失(HR;1.13;95%CI=1.03至1.25)是独立危险因素。排除入院后1个月死亡的患者后,低白蛋白血症<3g/dl(HR,2.70;95%CI=1.69至4.32)和出院时的功能丧失(HR-1.08,95%CI=1.03至1.14)是与1年死亡率相关的因素。
在九旬老人中,功能损害是因急性内科疾病住院后短期和长期死亡的最重要危险因素。