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新技术风险治理的前瞻性研究:以纳米技术为例

Foresight Study on the Risk Governance of New Technologies: The Case of Nanotechnology.

作者信息

Read Sheona A K, Kass Gary S, Sutcliffe Hilary R, Hankin Steven M

机构信息

Institute of Occupational Medicine (IOM), Riccarton, Edinburgh, UK.

MATTER, London, UK.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2016 May;36(5):1006-24. doi: 10.1111/risa.12470. Epub 2015 Sep 2.

Abstract

Technology-led innovation represents an important driver of European economic and industrial competitiveness and offers solutions to societal challenges. In order to facilitate responsible innovation and public acceptance, a need exists to identify and implement oversight approaches focused on the effective risk governance of emerging technologies. This article describes a foresight study on the governance of new technologies, using nanotechnology as a case example. Following a mapping of the governance landscape, four plausible foresight scenarios were developed, capturing critical uncertainties for nanotechnology governance. Key governance elements were then stress tested within these scenarios to see how well they might perform in a range of possible futures and to inform identification of the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats for nanotechnology governance in Europe. Based on the study outcomes, recommendations are proposed regarding the development of governance associated with the responsible development of new technologies.

摘要

技术引领的创新是欧洲经济和产业竞争力的重要驱动力,并为社会挑战提供解决方案。为了促进负责任的创新和公众接受度,有必要确定并实施侧重于新兴技术有效风险治理的监督方法。本文以纳米技术为例,描述了一项关于新技术治理的前瞻性研究。在绘制治理格局之后,制定了四种合理的前瞻性情景,捕捉纳米技术治理的关键不确定性。然后在这些情景中对关键治理要素进行压力测试,以了解它们在一系列可能的未来中的表现,并为确定欧洲纳米技术治理的优势、劣势、机遇和威胁提供信息。基于研究结果,就与新技术负责任发展相关的治理发展提出了建议。

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