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时间尺度不匹配的类型学及行为干预,以诊断和解决保护问题。

A typology of time-scale mismatches and behavioral interventions to diagnose and solve conservation problems.

机构信息

School of Environment and Natural Resources, The Ohio State University, 210 Kottman Hall, 2021 Coffey Road, Columbus, OH, 43221, U.S.A..

Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia, 2053 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z2, Canada.

出版信息

Conserv Biol. 2016 Feb;30(1):42-9. doi: 10.1111/cobi.12632. Epub 2015 Dec 18.

Abstract

Ecological systems often operate on time scales significantly longer or shorter than the time scales typical of human decision making, which causes substantial difficulty for conservation and management in socioecological systems. For example, invasive species may move faster than humans can diagnose problems and initiate solutions, and climate systems may exhibit long-term inertia and short-term fluctuations that obscure learning about the efficacy of management efforts in many ecological systems. We adopted a management-decision framework that distinguishes decision makers within public institutions from individual actors within the social system, calls attention to the ways socioecological systems respond to decision makers' actions, and notes institutional learning that accrues from observing these responses. We used this framework, along with insights from bedeviling conservation problems, to create a typology that identifies problematic time-scale mismatches occurring between individual decision makers in public institutions and between individual actors in the social or ecological system. We also considered solutions that involve modifying human perception and behavior at the individual level as a means of resolving these problematic mismatches. The potential solutions are derived from the behavioral economics and psychology literature on temporal challenges in decision making, such as the human tendency to discount future outcomes at irrationally high rates. These solutions range from framing environmental decisions to enhance the salience of long-term consequences, to using structured decision processes that make time scales of actions and consequences more explicit, to structural solutions aimed at altering the consequences of short-sighted behavior to make it less appealing. Additional application of these tools and long-term evaluation measures that assess not just behavioral changes but also associated changes in ecological systems are needed.

摘要

生态系统的运作时间尺度往往远长于或短于人类决策的典型时间尺度,这给社会生态系统的保护和管理带来了很大的困难。例如,入侵物种的传播速度可能快于人类能够诊断问题并启动解决方案的速度,而气候系统可能表现出长期惯性和短期波动,这使得人们难以了解管理措施在许多生态系统中的效果。我们采用了一种管理决策框架,该框架将公共机构内的决策者与社会系统内的个体行为者区分开来,引起人们对社会生态系统对决策者行动的反应方式的关注,并注意到从观察这些反应中积累的制度学习。我们使用这个框架,以及令人困扰的保护问题的见解,创建了一个分类法,该分类法确定了公共机构中个体决策者之间以及社会或生态系统中个体行为者之间存在的问题性时间尺度不匹配。我们还考虑了通过在个体层面上改变人类感知和行为来解决这些有问题的不匹配的解决方案。这些解决方案源自行为经济学和心理学文献中关于决策中的时间挑战的研究,例如人类以不合理的高利率贴现未来结果的倾向。这些解决方案包括将环境决策框架化以增强长期后果的显著性,使用结构化决策过程使行动和后果的时间尺度更加明确,以及旨在改变目光短浅行为后果的结构解决方案,使其吸引力降低。需要进一步应用这些工具和长期评估措施,不仅评估行为变化,还要评估相关的生态系统变化。

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