Zhu Wengen, He Wenfeng, Guo Linjuan, Wang Xixing, Hong Kui
Cardiology Department the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi, China.
Jiangxi Key Laboratory of Molecular Medicine, Jiangxi, China.
Clin Cardiol. 2015 Sep;38(9):555-61. doi: 10.1002/clc.22435.
Our objective was to compare the diagnostic accuracy between the HAS-BLED score and any of HEMORR2 HAGES, ATRIA, CHADS2 , or CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores in anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation. We systematically searched the Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, PubMed, and Embase databases for relevant studies. Data were extracted and analyzed according to predefined clinical endpoints. Eleven studies were identified. Discrimination analysis demonstrates that HAS-BLED has no significant C-statistic differences for bleeding risk prediction compared with ATRIA or HEMORR2 HAGES, but it has significant differences compared with CHADS2 or CHA2 DS2 -VASc. The significant positive net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement values also show that HAS-BLED is superior to that of any of HEMORR2 HAGES, ATRIA, CHADS2 , or CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores. According to calibration analysis of HAS-BLED, it overpredicts the risk of bleeding in the low (risk ratio [RR]: 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.63-2.13, P = 0.64) risk stratification but underpredicts that in the moderate (RR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.51-0.86, P = 0.002) and high (RR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.70-1.10, P = 0.27) risk stratifications. The HAS-BLED score not only performs better than the HEMORR2 HAGES and ATRIA bleeding scores, but it also is superior to the CHADS2 and CHA2 DS2 -VASc stroke scores for bleeding prediction. The HAS-BLED score should be the optimal choice to assess major bleeding risk in clinical practice.
我们的目的是比较HAS - BLED评分与HEMORR2 HAGES、ATRIA、CHADS2或CHA2 DS2 - VASc评分中的任何一种在房颤抗凝患者中的诊断准确性。我们系统检索了Cochrane图书馆、MEDLINE、PubMed和Embase数据库以查找相关研究。根据预定义的临床终点提取并分析数据。共识别出11项研究。鉴别分析表明,与ATRIA或HEMORR2 HAGES相比,HAS - BLED在出血风险预测方面的C统计量无显著差异,但与CHADS2或CHA2 DS2 - VASc相比有显著差异。显著的正向净重新分类改善和综合鉴别改善值也表明,HAS - BLED优于HEMORR2 HAGES、ATRIA、CHADS2或CHA2 DS2 - VASc评分中的任何一种。根据HAS - BLED的校准分析,它在低风险分层(风险比[RR]:1.16,95%置信区间[CI]:0.63 - 2.13,P = 0.64)中高估了出血风险,但在中风险(RR:0.66,95% CI:0.51 - 0.86,P = 0.002)和高风险(RR:0.88,95% CI:0.70 - 1.10,P = 0.27)分层中低估了出血风险。HAS - BLED评分不仅在出血预测方面比HEMORR2 HAGES和ATRIA出血评分表现更好,而且在出血预测方面也优于CHADS2和CHA2 DS2 - VASc卒中评分。HAS - BLED评分应是临床实践中评估大出血风险的最佳选择。