van der Ven Maarten J H, Schoon Yvonne, Olde Rikkert Marcel G M
Radboudumc, afd. Klinische Geriatrie, Nijmegen.
Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd. 2015;159:A9211.
To assess the prevalence and predictors of readmission in patients of 65 years or older.
Retrospective data analysis.
We used a dossier analysis to identify the number of readmissions and patient characteristics of all patients aged 65 years or older admitted to the Radboud University Medical Centre between 29 September 2013 and 4 October 2014. We also used data from the Dutch hospital safety tool (VMS) screening bundle for frail elderly patients. Predictors for readmission were investigated using logistic regression analysis.
The readmission rate within 30 days of discharge was 10.9% (95% CI 10.2 - 11.7) of all admissions of elderly patients. The most common symptom associated with readmission was dyspnea (24.9%). Diseases with an increased risk for readmission were: heart failure (OR=2.6; 95% CI 1.9 - 3.7), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR=2.2; 95% CI 1.5 - 3.2), renal insufficiency (OR=1.8; 95% CI 1.3 - 2.6) and cancer (OR=1.5; 95% CI 1.1 - 2.1). Total burden of disease and functional limitations accounted jointly for 49% of the variance in readmissions. Repeated readmissions could be less well predicted (explained variance: 14%); the use of more than 3 drugs (OR=1.07; 95% CI 1.02 - 1.13) and a low body mass index (OR=0.94; 95% CI 0.88 - 0.99) were predictors for multiple readmissions.
Elderly patients suffering from dyspnea have the highest risk for readmission. Patients with heart failure, COPD, renal failure, cancer, functional loss or malnutrition require extra attention on transition from hospital to home in order to lower the number of unnecessary readmissions.
评估65岁及以上患者再入院的患病率及预测因素。
回顾性数据分析。
我们采用档案分析来确定2013年9月29日至2014年10月4日期间入住拉德堡德大学医学中心的所有65岁及以上患者的再入院次数及患者特征。我们还使用了荷兰医院针对体弱老年患者的安全工具(VMS)筛查包中的数据。采用逻辑回归分析研究再入院的预测因素。
老年患者所有入院病例中,出院后30天内的再入院率为10.9%(95%置信区间10.2 - 11.7)。与再入院相关的最常见症状是呼吸困难(24.9%)。再入院风险增加的疾病有:心力衰竭(OR = 2.6;95%置信区间1.9 - 3.7)、慢性阻塞性肺疾病(OR = 2.2;95%置信区间1.5 - 3.2)、肾功能不全(OR = 1.8;95%置信区间1.3 - 2.6)和癌症(OR = 1.5;95%置信区间1.1 - 2.1)。疾病总负担和功能受限共同解释了再入院差异的49%。多次再入院的预测效果较差(解释方差:14%);使用超过3种药物(OR = 1.07;95%置信区间1.02 - 1.13)和低体重指数(OR = 0.94;95%置信区间0.88 - 0.99)是多次再入院的预测因素。
患有呼吸困难的老年患者再入院风险最高。心力衰竭、慢性阻塞性肺疾病、肾衰竭、癌症、功能丧失或营养不良的患者在从医院过渡到家庭期间需要格外关注,以减少不必要的再入院次数。