César A C G, Carvalho J A, Nascimento L F C
Instituto Federal de Educação, Ciência e Tecnologia de São Paulo, Bragança Paulista, SP, Brasil.
Faculdade de Engenharia de Guaratinguetá, Universidade Estadual Paulista, Guaratinguetá, SP, Brasil.
Braz J Med Biol Res. 2015 Dec;48(12):1130-5. doi: 10.1590/1414-431X20154396. Epub 2015 Sep 29.
Exposure to nitrogen oxides (NOx) emitted by burning fossil fuels has been associated with respiratory diseases. We aimed to estimate the effects of NOx exposure on mortality owing to respiratory diseases in residents of Taubaté, São Paulo, Brazil, of all ages and both sexes. This time-series ecological study from August 1, 2011 to July 31, 2012 used information on deaths caused by respiratory diseases obtained from the Health Department of Taubaté. Estimated daily levels of pollutants (NOx, particulate matter, ozone, carbon monoxide) were obtained from the Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos Coupled Aerosol and Tracer Transport model to the Brazilian developments on the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System. These environmental variables were used to adjust the multipollutant model for apparent temperature. To estimate association between hospitalizations owing to asthma and air pollutants, generalized additive Poisson regression models were developed, with lags as much as 5 days. There were 385 deaths with a daily mean (±SD) of 1.05±1.03 (range: 0-5). Exposure to NOx was significantly associated with mortality owing to respiratory diseases: relative risk (RR)=1.035 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.008-1.063) for lag 2, RR=1.064 (95%CI: 1.017-1.112) lag 3, RR=1.055 (95%CI: 1.025-1.085) lag 4, and RR=1.042 (95%CI: 1.010-1.076) lag 5. A 3 µg/m3 reduction in NOx concentration resulted in a decrease of 10-18 percentage points in risk of death caused by respiratory diseases. Even at NOx concentrations below the acceptable standard, there is association with deaths caused by respiratory diseases.
接触燃烧化石燃料排放的氮氧化物(NOx)与呼吸系统疾病有关。我们旨在评估巴西圣保罗陶巴特é市所有年龄和性别的居民接触NOx对呼吸系统疾病死亡率的影响。这项从2011年8月1日至2012年7月31日的时间序列生态研究,使用了从陶巴特é市卫生部门获取的呼吸系统疾病死亡信息。估计的每日污染物水平(NOx、颗粒物、臭氧、一氧化碳)来自气候预测和气候研究中心的耦合气溶胶和示踪剂传输模型以及巴西区域大气建模系统的相关发展成果。这些环境变量用于调整多污染物模型以考虑体感温度。为了评估哮喘住院与空气污染物之间的关联,开发了广义相加泊松回归模型,滞后时间长达5天。共有385例死亡,日均值(±标准差)为1.05±1.03(范围:0 - 5)。接触NOx与呼吸系统疾病死亡率显著相关:滞后2天的相对风险(RR)=1.035(95%置信区间[CI]:1.008 - 1.063),滞后3天的RR = 1.064(95%CI:1.017 - 1.112),滞后4天的RR = 1.055(95%CI:1.025 - 1.085),滞后5天的RR = 1.042(95%CI:1.010 - 1.076)。NOx浓度每降低3 µg/m3,呼吸系统疾病导致的死亡风险降低10 - 18个百分点。即使在NOx浓度低于可接受标准的情况下,也与呼吸系统疾病导致的死亡存在关联。