Wu Yifeng, Zhao Fengmin, Qian Xujun, Xu Guozhang, He Tianfeng, Shen Yueping, Cai Yibiao
Wei Sheng Yan Jiu. 2015 Jul;44(4):565-9.
To describe the daily average concentration of sulfur dioxide (SO2) in Ningbo, and to analysis the health impacts it caused in upper respiratory disease.
With outpatients log and air pollutants monitoring data matched in 2011-2013, the distributed lag non-linear models were used to analysis the relative risk of the number of upper respiratory patients associated with SO2, and also excessive risk, and the inferred number of patients due to SO2 pollution.
The daily average concentration of SO2 didn't exceed the limit value of second class area. The coefficient of upper respiratory outpatient number and daily average concentration of SO2 matched was 0.44,with the excessive risk was 10% to 18%, the lag of most SO2 concentrations was 4 to 6 days. It could be estimated that about 30% of total upper respiratory outpatients were caused by SO2 pollution.
Although the daily average concentration of SO2 didn't exceed the standard in 3 years, the health impacts still be caused with lag effect.
描述宁波市二氧化硫(SO₂)的日均浓度,并分析其对呼吸道疾病的健康影响。
利用2011 - 2013年门诊日志与空气污染物监测数据匹配,采用分布滞后非线性模型分析呼吸道疾病患者数量与SO₂相关的相对风险、超额风险以及因SO₂污染推断出的患者数量。
SO₂日均浓度未超过二类区限值。呼吸道门诊量与SO₂日均浓度匹配系数为0.44,超额风险为10%至18%,多数SO₂浓度滞后4至6天。据估计,约30%的呼吸道门诊总量由SO₂污染所致。
尽管3年中SO₂日均浓度未超标,但仍存在滞后效应的健康影响。