Ercumen Ayse, Arnold Benjamin F, Kumpel Emily, Burt Zachary, Ray Isha, Nelson Kara, Colford John M
Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California, United States of America.
Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California, United States of America; Aquaya Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.
PLoS Med. 2015 Oct 27;12(10):e1001892. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001892. eCollection 2015 Oct.
Intermittent delivery of piped water can lead to waterborne illness through contamination in the pipelines or during household storage, use of unsafe water sources during intermittencies, and limited water availability for hygiene. We assessed the association between continuous versus intermittent water supply and waterborne diseases, child mortality, and weight for age in Hubli-Dharwad, India.
We conducted a matched cohort study with multivariate matching to identify intermittent and continuous supply areas with comparable characteristics in Hubli-Dharwad. We followed 3,922 households in 16 neighborhoods with children <5 y old, with four longitudinal visits over 15 mo (Nov 2010-Feb 2012) to record caregiver-reported health outcomes (diarrhea, highly credible gastrointestinal illness, bloody diarrhea, typhoid fever, cholera, hepatitis, and deaths of children <2 y old) and, at the final visit, to measure weight for age for children <5 y old. We also collected caregiver-reported data on negative control outcomes (cough/cold and scrapes/bruises) to assess potential bias from residual confounding or differential measurement error. Continuous supply had no significant overall association with diarrhea (prevalence ratio [PR] = 0.93, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83-1.04, p = 0.19), bloody diarrhea (PR = 0.78, 95% CI: 0.60-1.01, p = 0.06), or weight-for-age z-scores (Δz = 0.01, 95% CI: -0.07-0.09, p = 0.79) in children <5 y old. In prespecified subgroup analyses by socioeconomic status, children <5 y old in lower-income continuous supply households had 37% lower prevalence of bloody diarrhea (PR = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.46-0.87, p-value for interaction = 0.03) than lower-income intermittent supply households; in higher-income households, there was no significant association between continuous versus intermittent supply and child diarrheal illnesses. Continuous supply areas also had 42% fewer households with ≥1 reported case of typhoid fever (cumulative incidence ratio [CIR] = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.41-0.78, p = 0.001) than intermittent supply areas. There was no significant association with hepatitis, cholera, or mortality of children <2 y old; however, our results were indicative of lower mortality of children <2 y old (CIR = 0.51, 95% CI: 0.22-1.07, p = 0.10) in continuous supply areas. The major limitations of our study were the potential for unmeasured confounding given the observational design and measurement bias from differential reporting of health symptoms given the nonblinded treatment. However, there was no significant difference in the prevalence of the negative control outcomes between study groups that would suggest undetected confounding or measurement bias.
Continuous water supply had no significant overall association with diarrheal disease or ponderal growth in children <5 y old in Hubli-Dharwad; this might be due to point-of-use water contamination from continuing household storage and exposure to diarrheagenic pathogens through nonwaterborne routes. Continuous supply was associated with lower prevalence of dysentery in children in low-income households and lower typhoid fever incidence, suggesting that intermittently operated piped water systems are a significant transmission mechanism for Salmonella typhi and dysentery-causing pathogens in this urban population, despite centralized water treatment. Continuous supply was associated with reduced transmission, especially in the poorer higher-risk segments of the population.
管道水的间歇性供应可能会因管道污染、家庭储存或使用期间污染、间歇性供应期间使用不安全水源以及卫生用水供应有限而导致水源性疾病。我们评估了印度胡布利 - 达尔瓦德持续供水与间歇性供水之间的关联以及水源性疾病、儿童死亡率和年龄别体重之间的关系。
我们进行了一项匹配队列研究,采用多变量匹配来确定胡布利 - 达尔瓦德具有可比特征的间歇性和持续性供水区域。我们对16个社区中3922户有5岁以下儿童的家庭进行了跟踪,在15个月(2010年11月 - 2012年2月)内进行了4次纵向访视,以记录照顾者报告的健康结果(腹泻、高度可信的胃肠道疾病、血性腹泻、伤寒热、霍乱、肝炎以及2岁以下儿童死亡情况),并在最后一次访视时测量5岁以下儿童的年龄别体重。我们还收集了照顾者报告的关于阴性对照结果(咳嗽/感冒和擦伤/瘀伤)的数据,以评估残余混杂或差异测量误差导致的潜在偏倚。持续供水与5岁以下儿童的腹泻(患病率比[PR] = 0.93,95%置信区间[CI]:0.83 - 1.04,p = 0.19)、血性腹泻(PR = 0.78,95%CI:0.60 - 1.01,p = 0.06)或年龄别体重z评分(Δz = 0.01,9BCI: - 0.07 - 0.09,p = 0.79)无显著总体关联。在按社会经济地位进行的预先设定的亚组分析中,低收入持续供水家庭中5岁以下儿童的血性腹泻患病率比低收入间歇性供水家庭低37%(PR = 0.63,95%CI:0.46 - 0.87,交互作用p值 = [0.03]);在高收入家庭中,持续供水与间歇性供水和儿童腹泻疾病之间无显著关联。持续供水区域报告有≥1例伤寒热病例的家庭也比间歇性供水区域少42%(累积发病率比[CIR] = 0.58,95%CI:0.41 - 0.78,p = 0.001)。与肝炎、霍乱或2岁以下儿童死亡率无显著关联;然而,我们的结果表明持续供水区域2岁以下儿童死亡率较低(CIR = 0.51,95%CI:0.22 - 1.07,p = 0.10)。我们研究的主要局限性在于鉴于观察性设计存在未测量混杂的可能性,以及鉴于非盲法治疗导致健康症状报告差异产生的测量偏倚。然而,研究组之间阴性对照结果的患病率无显著差异,这表明不存在未检测到的混杂或测量偏倚。
在印度胡布利 - 达尔瓦德,持续供水与5岁以下儿童的腹泻疾病或体重增长无显著总体关联;这可能是由于家庭持续储存导致的使用点水污染以及通过非水源性途径接触致泻病原体。持续供水与低收入家庭儿童痢疾患病率较低以及伤寒热发病率较低相关,这表明尽管有集中式水处理,但间歇性运行的管道水系统是该城市人口中伤寒沙门氏菌和致痢病原体的重要传播机制。持续供水与传播减少相关,尤其是在较贫困的高风险人群中。