Di Ciaula Agostino
Division of Internal Medicine, Hospital of Bisceglie (ASL BAT), Bisceglie, Italy; International Society of Doctors for Environment (ISDE), Arezzo, Italy.
Diabetes Res Clin Pract. 2016 Jan;111:36-43. doi: 10.1016/j.diabres.2015.10.016. Epub 2015 Oct 23.
This study aimed to explore Type 1 diabetes (T1D) incidence and possible relations with specific air pollutants in a large population of children, during a wide time period.
T1D rates and trends were examined (2001-2013, GAM and Joinpoint Regression analysis) by data on the first hospitalization in all children (0-14 years) living in Apulia (Southern Italy, average yearly population aged 0-14 years in the examined period: 631,275 subjects), and linked with levels of PM10, NOx, CO and ozone.
A total of 1501 children were first discharged in the selected area with a diagnosis of T1D. Incidence decreased from 48.5 (95% CI 43.3; 54.0, 2001) to 16.9 per 100,000 (95% CI 13.7; 20.6, 2013), with differences according to age at onset (constant at 0-4 years, continuously decreasing at 5-9 years, decreasing until 2003 at 10-14 years), and with a positive relation with PM10--but not ozone, NOx and CO average air levels. The OR was 1.037 (1.002; 1.074) in the high tertile of PM10 concentrations, and mean incidence was higher with PM10 levels in the highest, than in the medium/reference tertile. Mean age at T1D onset was linked with yearly PM10 and ozone air levels.
On a wide period, a stable or decreased incidence of T1D was evident in children with early- or later onset of disease, respectively. PM10 exposure significantly affects the incidence of T1D, which might be considered, at least in part, a preventable condition.
本研究旨在探讨在较长时间段内,大量儿童中1型糖尿病(T1D)的发病率及其与特定空气污染物之间的可能关系。
通过对居住在普利亚大区(意大利南部,研究期间0至14岁年均人口:631,275人)的所有儿童(0至14岁)首次住院数据进行分析(2001 - 2013年,广义相加模型和Joinpoint回归分析),研究T1D发病率及趋势,并将其与PM10、氮氧化物(NOx)、一氧化碳(CO)和臭氧水平相关联。
在选定区域,共有1501名儿童首次出院时被诊断为T1D。发病率从2001年的每10万人48.5例(95%置信区间43.3;54.0)降至2013年的每10万人16.9例(95%置信区间13.7;20.6),发病年龄存在差异(0至4岁恒定,5至9岁持续下降,10至14岁至2003年下降),且与PM10呈正相关——但与臭氧、NOx和CO的平均空气水平无关。在PM10浓度最高三分位数时,比值比为1.037(1.002;1.074),且PM10水平最高时的平均发病率高于中等/参考三分位数。T1D发病的平均年龄与年度PM10和臭氧空气水平相关。
在较长时期内,T1D发病早或晚的儿童发病率分别呈现稳定或下降趋势。暴露于PM10显著影响T1D发病率,这至少在一定程度上可被视为一种可预防的疾病状态。