Weller J I, Ezra E
Institute of Animal Sciences, ARO, The Volcani Center, Bet Dagan 50250, Israel.
Israel Cattle Breeders Association, Caesaria Industrial Park, Caesaria 38900, Israel.
J Dairy Sci. 2016 Jan;99(1):427-42. doi: 10.3168/jds.2015-9768. Epub 2015 Nov 5.
Five alternative models were applied for analysis of dystocia and stillbirth in first and second parities. Models 1 and 2 were included only to estimate the parameters required for model 4, and models 3 and 5 are included only as comparisons to the model 4 estimates. Variance components were estimated by multi-trait REML, including cows with valid calving records for both parities. For the effects of sire of calf on first and second parities, variance components were estimated including only calvings with the same sire of calf for both parities. All heritabilities for the cow effect were quite low, but higher for dystocia than for stillbirth and higher in first parity. The sire-of-calf heritabilities were higher than the cow effect heritabilities, except for stillbirth in parity 2. Unlike the effect of cow correlations, all sire of calf correlations were >0.6, and the correlations for the same trait in parities 1 and 2 were >0.9. Thus, a multi-trait analysis should yield a significant gain in accuracy with respect to the sire of calf effects for bulls not mated to virgin heifers. A multi-trait individual animal model algorithm was developed for joint analysis of dystocia and stillbirth in first and second parities. Relationships matrices were included both for the effects of cow and sire of calf. In addition, random herd-year-season and fixed sex of calf effects were included in the model. Records were preadjusted for calving month and age. A total of 899,223 Israeli Holstein cows with first calvings since 1985 were included in the complete analysis. Approximate reliabilities were computed for both sire of cow and sire of calf effects. Correlations between these reliabilities and reliabilities obtained by direct inversion of the coefficient matrix for a sire of cow-sire of calf model were all close to 0.99. Phenotypic trends for cows born from 1983 through 2007 were economically unfavorable for dystocia and favorable for stillbirth in both parities. Genetic trends were economically unfavorable for both dystocia and stillbirth in first parity. First-parity sire of calf trends were unfavorable for dystocia, but favorable for stillbirth. All environmental trends were nearly zero. Regressions of evaluations of the complete analysis on a model including only calvings before 2011 were all >0.8. All evaluations met the Interbull Method 3 criterion for unbiasedness. Model 4, which computed genetic evaluations for all animals for all 4 traits accounting for all known relationships and correlations among the traits, is recommended for routine genetic evaluation of calving traits.
应用了五种替代模型来分析初产和经产的难产及死产情况。模型1和模型2仅用于估计模型4所需的参数,模型3和模型5仅作为与模型4估计值的比较。方差成分通过多性状REML估计,包括具有两个胎次有效产犊记录的母牛。对于犊牛父亲对初产和经产的影响,仅包括两个胎次犊牛父亲相同的产犊情况来估计方差成分。母牛效应的所有遗传力都相当低,但难产的遗传力高于死产,且初产时更高。犊牛父亲的遗传力高于母牛效应的遗传力,但经产第2胎的死产情况除外。与母牛相关性的效应不同,所有犊牛父亲的相关性均>0.6,且第1胎和第2胎相同性状的相关性>0.9。因此,对于未与初产母牛交配的公牛,多性状分析在犊牛父亲效应的准确性方面应能显著提高。开发了一种多性状个体动物模型算法,用于联合分析初产和经产的难产及死产情况。模型中既包含了母牛效应的关系矩阵,也包含了犊牛父亲效应的关系矩阵。此外,模型中还包括随机的牛群-年份-季节效应和固定的犊牛性别效应。记录已根据产犊月份和年龄进行了预调整。自1985年以来首次产犊的899,223头以色列荷斯坦奶牛被纳入完整分析。计算了母牛父亲效应和犊牛父亲效应的近似可靠性。这些可靠性与通过母牛父亲-犊牛父亲模型系数矩阵直接求逆得到的可靠性之间的相关性均接近0.99。1983年至2007年出生的母牛在难产和死产方面的表型趋势在两个胎次上在经济上都是不利的。初产时,难产和死产的遗传趋势在经济上都是不利的。初产犊牛父亲的趋势在难产方面不利,但在死产方面有利。所有环境趋势几乎为零。完整分析的评估值对仅包括2011年以前产犊情况的模型的回归系数均>0.8。所有评估值均符合国际公牛组织方法3的无偏性标准。建议使用模型4进行产犊性状的常规遗传评估,该模型考虑了所有已知关系和性状间的相关性,计算了所有动物所有4个性状的遗传评估值。